Methane Flux Responses to Warming and Inundation in the Qinghai Lake Littoral Wetland

This study investigated the interactive effects of warming and inundation on methane (CH4) fluxes and soil physicochemical mechanisms in the littoral wetland of Qinghai Lake. Soil samples were collected from the Bird Island littoral wetland. Eight treatments were established: natural control (CK), different inundation depths (S0, S10, S20), warming alone (ZWCK), and warming combined with inundation (ZW0, ZW10, ZW20). CH4 fluxes were measured over one year using an ABB LGR analyzer. Principal component analysis (PCA) and Mantel tests were used to identify environmental drivers. The main findings are as follows: (1) Under different water level treatments, CH4 fluxes showed a unimodal seasonal pattern, peaking in autumn. Warming and the interactive treatments shifted the emission pattern to bimodal or multimodal and significantly increased emission intensity. The warming-alone group had the highest annual emission, with anomalously high winter emission (47.683 μg·m−2·h−1). Under the ZW20 treatment, emissions were synergistically enhanced in summer and autumn but turned to suppression in winter. (2) PCA showed that the carbon nitrogen pool (70.5%) and the salinity pH gradient (14.9%) were the main drivers of soil variation. The interactive effects on carbon-nitrogen dynamics shifted with season: warming promoted accumulation in spring; warming with shallow inundation retained carbon-nitrogen in summer, but deep inundation caused loss; warming with deep inundation formed a nutrient center in autumn; inundation dominated accumulation in winter, while warming increased loss. (3) Mantel tests showed that carbon-nitrogen components were highly correlated across seasons, but were strongly and positively correlated with CH4 flux only in autumn (Mantel’s r ≥ 0.4, p < 0.05), indicating autumn as the key window. These findings provide important insights into carbon cycling processes and regulatory mechanisms of alpine wetlands under future climate change scenarios.