Participant-level anomaly detection for generation and load data using dual-side LSTMs

Reliable anomaly detection for generation and load metering data is essential to market settlement. In practice, anomalies are diverse and sparse, and the load side contains a large and time-varying number of participants, which makes fine-grained participant-level localization difficult. Conventional statistical thresholding and generic outlier detectors (e.g., LOF) are often sensitive to nonstationarity and cannot effectively exploit temporal dependency across intra-day time slots, resulting in coarse alarms and high false positives. To address these issues, this paper proposes a dual-side LSTM-based participant-level anomaly detection method. Multimodal features are constructed from 24 intra-day measurements, a daily total, FFT-derived frequency components, and calendar context. A zero-padding and masking mechanism is introduced to handle daily changes in the number of load participants without contaminating model training. A dual-layer LSTM with a 16-d participant embedding learns participant-specific temporal patterns, and a rule combining relative-error screening with confidence verification produces participant-level anomaly positioning and abnormal time-slot identification. Experiments on one-month desensitized provincial-grid data (242 generators and 78k-85k loads) achieve 100.0% F1-score (100.0% recall, 100.0% precision), with highly accurate positioning and time-slot recognition, substantially outperforming statistical and LOF baselines.

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Publication Details

Journal
Scientific Reports
Published
2026-05-23
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-026-54639-1
Primary Topic
Electricity Theft Detection Techniques
Type
article
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article

Participant-level anomaly detection for generation and load data using dual-side LSTMs

Liming Yao, Qianya He, Jiaxun Liu, Xueliang Gong et al.
Scientific Reports
Electricity Theft Detection Techniques
article

Participant-level anomaly detection for generation and load data using dual-side LSTMs

Liming Yao, Qianya He, Jiaxun Liu, Xueliang Gong, Qi Liu, Tianze Yu, Tong Zhao
article en

Abstract

Reliable anomaly detection for generation and load metering data is essential to market settlement. In practice, anomalies are diverse and sparse, and the load side contains a large and time-varying number of participants, which makes fine-grained participant-level localization difficult. Conventional statistical thresholding and generic outlier detectors (e.g., LOF) are often sensitive to nonstationarity and cannot effectively exploit temporal dependency across intra-day time slots, resulting in coarse alarms and high false positives. To address these issues, this paper proposes a dual-side LSTM-based participant-level anomaly detection method. Multimodal features are constructed from 24 intra-day measurements, a daily total, FFT-derived frequency components, and calendar context. A zero-padding and masking mechanism is introduced to handle daily changes in the number of load participants without contaminating model training. A dual-layer LSTM with a 16-d participant embedding learns participant-specific temporal patterns, and a rule combining relative-error screening with confidence verification produces participant-level anomaly positioning and abnormal time-slot identification. Experiments on one-month desensitized provincial-grid data (242 generators and 78k-85k loads) achieve 100.0% F1-score (100.0% recall, 100.0% precision), with highly accurate positioning and time-slot recognition, substantially outperforming statistical and LOF baselines.

Scientific Reports
China General Nuclear Power Corporation (China) (CN), Ion Exchange (India) (IN), OriginWater (China) (CN)
Openalex Percentile: Top 8%
Electricity Theft Detection Techniques
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