Mathematical model showing how socio-economic dynamics in African cities could widen or reduce inequality

Cities are important forces of national socioeconomic development. Individuals in cities often belong to different socioeconomic statuses depending on their levels of income, education and nature of occupation. Income, employment and education opportunities are among the main attractions of most cities. In this study, we investigate the impact of socioeconomic status on city attractiveness for the African cities of Windhoek, Harare, Lusaka, Kinshasa and Nairobi. The socioeconomic status of samples of individuals in these cities are used to formulate a mathematical model that describes the city population dynamics. Using income as a measure, qualitative analyses of the model together with numerical simulations using survey data show how competitive relationships among the various socioeconomic status groups could widen inequality over time. Alternatively, synergetic relationships among the various socioeconomic groups could reduce this inequality. These results point to urban planning that encourages synergism between the different income classes with the aim of reducing inequality.

Authors

Publication Details

Journal
Human Science Research Council SA
Published
2026-05-22
DOI
https://doi.org/10.14749/32377044
Primary Topic
Urban Design and Spatial Analysis
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
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article

Mathematical model showing how socio-economic dynamics in African cities could widen or reduce inequality

Human Sciences Research Council
Human Science Research Council SA
Urban Design and Spatial Analysis
article

Mathematical model showing how socio-economic dynamics in African cities could widen or reduce inequality

Human Sciences Research Council
article en

Abstract

Cities are important forces of national socioeconomic development. Individuals in cities often belong to different socioeconomic statuses depending on their levels of income, education and nature of occupation. Income, employment and education opportunities are among the main attractions of most cities. In this study, we investigate the impact of socioeconomic status on city attractiveness for the African cities of Windhoek, Harare, Lusaka, Kinshasa and Nairobi. The socioeconomic status of samples of individuals in these cities are used to formulate a mathematical model that describes the city population dynamics. Using income as a measure, qualitative analyses of the model together with numerical simulations using survey data show how competitive relationships among the various socioeconomic status groups could widen inequality over time. Alternatively, synergetic relationships among the various socioeconomic groups could reduce this inequality. These results point to urban planning that encourages synergism between the different income classes with the aim of reducing inequality.

Human Science Research Council SA
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Openalex Percentile: Top 7%
Urban Design and Spatial Analysis
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Mathematical model showing how socio-economic dynamics in African cities could widen or reduce inequality — Human Sciences Research Council · Human Science Research Council SA (2026) | TGRS Research Map | TGRS