Long-Term Risk of Residual or Recurrent CIN 2–3 After LLETZ in Immunosuppressed vs. Immunocompetent Women: A 20-Year Cohort Study

Background: Immunosuppressed women are at increased risk of residual or recurrent high-grade cervical intraepithelial neoplasia (CIN 2–3) after excisional treatment, yet long-term comparative data remain limited. Previous studies are often small and heterogeneous, and they rarely compare outcomes directly with immunocompetent populations. This study evaluated the long-term incidence, timing and associated factors of CIN 2–3 recurrence after large loop excision of the transformation zone (LLETZ), stratified by immune status. Methods: We conducted a retrospective cohort study including 283 women treated with LLETZ for CIN 2–3 between 1996 and 2016 at Bellvitge University Hospital in Barcelona, Spain. Of these, 41 were immunosuppressed and 242 immunocompetent. Clinical, histopathological, virological, and immunological variables were extracted from hospital and pathology registries. Kaplan–Meier estimates and Cox proportional hazards models adjusted for immunosuppression status were used to evaluate time-to-recurrence and factors associated with recurrence. Results: At 36 months post-treatment, the probability of residual/recurrent CIN 2–3 was 44% in immunosuppressed women versus 5% in immunocompetent women (HR = 10.42, 95% CI 4.70–23.08, p < 0.001). Recurrence appeared earlier in immunosuppressed women (median 7 vs. 13 months). Persistent high-risk HPV infection at first follow-up (HR = 23.6, 95% CI 5.44–102, p < 0.001) and positive surgical margins (HR = 3.88, 95% CI 1.45–10.3, p = 0.007) were among the factors most strongly associated with recurrence, and advanced immunodeficiency (CD4+ < 200 cells/mm3 or detectable HIV viral load) was associated with earlier recurrences, though this association was not maintained after accounting for immunosuppression status in Cox models. Conclusions: Immunosuppressed women are at significantly higher and earlier risk of residual/recurrent CIN 2–3 after LLETZ. These findings support a risk-adapted, multidisciplinary follow-up integrating gynecologic, infectious disease, and immunologic care. Tailored surveillance and perioperative HPV vaccination may enhance secondary prevention in this high-risk population.