Using lower-fidelity models to accelerate production strategy optimization of a pre-salt carbonate reservoir

Abstract Reservoir simulators are essential for forecasting and production optimization, but their use in complex fractured reservoirs is often limited by high computational cost. This work proposes a streamlined method for building lower-fidelity, fit-for-purpose models (LFMs/FPMs) that preserve key reservoir behaviors while significantly reducing runtime. In this work, we found that, while a typical lower-fidelity model is faster and has lower reliability, a chosen FPM keeps close reliability and significantly higher performance than the original HFM (higher fidelity model) or full-physics model within quantitative acceptance of model properties. Unlike traditional upscaling, the approach simplifies geological and petrophysical inputs, such as permeability and porosity, without altering the grid structure, thus minimizing geomodelling effort. This study demonstrates that input and property-based simplification and quality control can provide a practical and accurate alternative to high-fidelity simulation, offering the offshore E&P industry a powerful tool for faster, more efficient decision-making. Applied to a carbonate reservoir in southeast Brazil, the method delivered substantial speedup in production-strategy optimization while maintaining high agreement with the full-physics model, 94% speedup with an equivalent response quality, R 2 above at least 99% on all criteria, and correlation coefficient above 79% on the criteria that matter most. The LFMs reproduced decision-relevant responses with strong consistency across multiple metrics, supporting their use in robust optimization workflows. The final development strategies derived from the FPMs matched or slightly outperformed FEI from the original model well positioning optimization.

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Publication Details

Journal
Journal of the Brazilian Society of Mechanical Sciences and Engineering
Published
2026-05-23
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1007/s40430-026-06445-z
Primary Topic
Reservoir Engineering and Simulation Methods
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
0.00

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article

Using lower-fidelity models to accelerate production strategy optimization of a pre-salt carbonate reservoir

Samuel Ferreira de Mello, Leandro Danes, Guilherme Daniel Avansi, Denis José Schiozer et al.
Journal of the Brazilian Society of Mechanical Sciences and Engineering
Reservoir Engineering and Simulation Methods
article

Using lower-fidelity models to accelerate production strategy optimization of a pre-salt carbonate reservoir

Samuel Ferreira de Mello, Leandro Danes, Guilherme Daniel Avansi, Denis José Schiozer, Marx Vladimir de Sousa Miranda
article en

Abstract

Abstract Reservoir simulators are essential for forecasting and production optimization, but their use in complex fractured reservoirs is often limited by high computational cost. This work proposes a streamlined method for building lower-fidelity, fit-for-purpose models (LFMs/FPMs) that preserve key reservoir behaviors while significantly reducing runtime. In this work, we found that, while a typical lower-fidelity model is faster and has lower reliability, a chosen FPM keeps close reliability and significantly higher performance than the original HFM (higher fidelity model) or full-physics model within quantitative acceptance of model properties. Unlike traditional upscaling, the approach simplifies geological and petrophysical inputs, such as permeability and porosity, without altering the grid structure, thus minimizing geomodelling effort. This study demonstrates that input and property-based simplification and quality control can provide a practical and accurate alternative to high-fidelity simulation, offering the offshore E&P industry a powerful tool for faster, more efficient decision-making. Applied to a carbonate reservoir in southeast Brazil, the method delivered substantial speedup in production-strategy optimization while maintaining high agreement with the full-physics model, 94% speedup with an equivalent response quality, R 2 above at least 99% on all criteria, and correlation coefficient above 79% on the criteria that matter most. The LFMs reproduced decision-relevant responses with strong consistency across multiple metrics, supporting their use in robust optimization workflows. The final development strategies derived from the FPMs matched or slightly outperformed FEI from the original model well positioning optimization.

Journal of the Brazilian Society of Mechanical Sciences and EngineeringVol. 48(7)
Universidade Estadual de Campinas (UNICAMP) (BR)
Energi Simulation, Conselho Nacional de Desenvolvimento Científico e Tecnológico, Universidade Estadual de Campinas
Industry, innovation and infrastructure
Openalex Percentile: Top 6%
Reservoir Engineering and Simulation Methods
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