Numerical Study and Parametric Insights of Mechanized Shaft Excavation in Soft Clay

The excavation of deep shafts using Vertical Shaft Sinking Machine (VSM) technology in stratified soft soils involves complex soil-structure interaction (SSI) mechanisms that are often oversimplified by conventional numerical approaches. This study develops a robust three-dimensional numerical framework to investigate ground deformation induced by VSM operations, explicitly incorporating the phased construction sequence, segmental lining installation, and site-specific stratigraphy. The model is calibrated and validated against high-resolution field monitoring data, employing a prediction envelope approach and statistical performance metrics (RMSE and R2). The results suggest that ground response during VSM excavation is predominantly stiffness-controlled under the investigated conditions. Mobilized shear stresses remain significantly below the available soil capacity, indicating that deformation under serviceability conditions is driven by progressive strain accumulation. Horizontal displacement profiles suggest a relatively stable depth of influence, indicating that the excavation process amplifies deformations within a pre-established domain without significant deep-seated propagation. Sensitivity analyses indicate soil stiffness modules (E50,Eoed,Eur) and the SSI interface factor (Rinter) as the primary drivers of deformation magnitude. Furthermore, stratigraphic contrasts specifically clay-sand sequences, act as a mechanical filter, concentrating strains in soft layers while limiting vertical propagation through stiffer strata. The proposed framework provides a mechanically coherent basis for serviceability-oriented design, deformation prediction, and risk-mitigation strategies for mechanized shafts in saturated soft ground.