Global Sub‐Daily Precipitation Extremes Are Becoming More Intense and Longer‐Lasting

Abstract Precipitation is an intermittent event; the higher the spatiotemporal resolution of precipitation data, the better it can characterize the processes of extreme precipitation events. In this study, we analyzed the spatiotemporal evolution of the global annual maximum 3‐hr precipitation processes from 2000 to 2024 and its influencing factors based on high temporal resolution precipitation data from Multi‐Source Weighted‐Ensemble Precipitation (MSWEP). The results show that from 2000 to 2024, the annual maximum 3‐hr precipitation exhibited a significant increasing trend over 6.66% of the global land area. In arid regions, extreme precipitation events are more concentrated within the peak 3‐hr window, whereas in humid regions, a greater ratio of total event precipitation is distributed in the hr before and after the peak. The timing of the annual maximum 3‐hr precipitation differs hemispherically, primarily concentrated during the local summer; these events also exhibit differences in their preferred time of occurrence within a day. Over the past two decades, precipitation return values have increased across more than half of the global land area. Among the climatic drivers of extreme precipitation, Land‐Ocean Temperature (LOT) exerts the strongest influence, followed by the Nino 3.4. This study can help deepen the understanding of the evolution processes of global sub‐daily extreme precipitation and their influencing factors.

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Publication Details

Journal
Journal of Geophysical Research Atmospheres
Published
2026-05-21
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1029/2026jd046428
Primary Topic
Climate variability and models
Type
article
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article

Global Sub‐Daily Precipitation Extremes Are Becoming More Intense and Longer‐Lasting

X H Yu, Moyang Liu, Xu Yang, Haoyu Jin et al.
Journal of Geophysical Research Atmospheres
Climate variability and models
article

Global Sub‐Daily Precipitation Extremes Are Becoming More Intense and Longer‐Lasting

X H Yu, Moyang Liu, Xu Yang, Haoyu Jin, Lijun Chao, Ke Zhang
article en

Abstract

Abstract Precipitation is an intermittent event; the higher the spatiotemporal resolution of precipitation data, the better it can characterize the processes of extreme precipitation events. In this study, we analyzed the spatiotemporal evolution of the global annual maximum 3‐hr precipitation processes from 2000 to 2024 and its influencing factors based on high temporal resolution precipitation data from Multi‐Source Weighted‐Ensemble Precipitation (MSWEP). The results show that from 2000 to 2024, the annual maximum 3‐hr precipitation exhibited a significant increasing trend over 6.66% of the global land area. In arid regions, extreme precipitation events are more concentrated within the peak 3‐hr window, whereas in humid regions, a greater ratio of total event precipitation is distributed in the hr before and after the peak. The timing of the annual maximum 3‐hr precipitation differs hemispherically, primarily concentrated during the local summer; these events also exhibit differences in their preferred time of occurrence within a day. Over the past two decades, precipitation return values have increased across more than half of the global land area. Among the climatic drivers of extreme precipitation, Land‐Ocean Temperature (LOT) exerts the strongest influence, followed by the Nino 3.4. This study can help deepen the understanding of the evolution processes of global sub‐daily extreme precipitation and their influencing factors.

Journal of Geophysical Research AtmospheresVol. 131(10)
Australian National University (AU), China Meteorological Administration (CN), Hohai University (CN), Ministry of Water Resources of the People's Republic of China (CN), University of Chinese Academy of Sciences (CN), Institute of Soil Science (CN)
Life below water
Openalex Percentile: Top 6%
Climate variability and models
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