TLMM v5.1: Longitudinal Adaptive Resilience Twins for EEG Dynamics

TLMM v5.1 extends adaptive resilience twin frameworks for longitudinal EEG dynamics by introducing subject-level generalization, predictability horizon quantification, longitudinal drift-aware adaptation, semi-empirical resilience landscape reconstruction, topology-inspired precursor propagation, predictive uncertainty decomposition, counterfactual resilience exploration, and predictability–instability phase-plane analysis. The framework integrates probabilistic forecasting, adaptive forgetting, graph-based precursor dynamics, and resilience landscape reconstruction into a unified exploratory architecture validated across three public EEG datasets (OpenNEURO, CHB-MIT, TUAB; N = 43 subjects). Main features introduced in v5.1 include: • Subject-level out-of-sample validation• Predictability horizon estimation• Longitudinal twin drift tracking• Adaptive forgetting under nonstationarity• Semi-empirical resilience landscape reconstruction• Spatial precursor propagation using graph Laplacian dynamics• Predictive uncertainty decomposition• Counterfactual resilience exploration• Predictability–instability phase-plane interpretation• Conceptual roadmap toward closed-loop adaptive resilience systems Observed subject-level predictive consistency reached approximately:ρ ≈ 0.50–0.58 across datasets. Median personalized predictability horizons ranged from approximately:20–34 minutes depending on dataset characteristics. All results are exploratory and illustrative.No clinical deployment, therapeutic recommendation, or validated intervention strategy is claimed or implied. Files included:• Main PDF manuscript• Full figure set (Fig.1–11)• LaTeX source• Python demonstration script• README documentation This work is intended as a methodological and conceptual contribution toward adaptive resilience forecasting and longitudinal twin modeling for nonstationary neural dynamics.

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Publication Details

Journal
Zenodo (CERN European Organization for Nuclear Research)
Published
2026-05-19
DOI
https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.20286817
Primary Topic
Functional Brain Connectivity Studies
Type
preprint
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preprint

TLMM v5.1: Longitudinal Adaptive Resilience Twins for EEG Dynamics

Koji Okino
Zenodo (CERN European Organization for Nuclear Research)
Functional Brain Connectivity Studies
preprint

TLMM v5.1: Longitudinal Adaptive Resilience Twins for EEG Dynamics

Koji Okino
preprint en

Abstract

TLMM v5.1 extends adaptive resilience twin frameworks for longitudinal EEG dynamics by introducing subject-level generalization, predictability horizon quantification, longitudinal drift-aware adaptation, semi-empirical resilience landscape reconstruction, topology-inspired precursor propagation, predictive uncertainty decomposition, counterfactual resilience exploration, and predictability–instability phase-plane analysis. The framework integrates probabilistic forecasting, adaptive forgetting, graph-based precursor dynamics, and resilience landscape reconstruction into a unified exploratory architecture validated across three public EEG datasets (OpenNEURO, CHB-MIT, TUAB; N = 43 subjects). Main features introduced in v5.1 include: • Subject-level out-of-sample validation• Predictability horizon estimation• Longitudinal twin drift tracking• Adaptive forgetting under nonstationarity• Semi-empirical resilience landscape reconstruction• Spatial precursor propagation using graph Laplacian dynamics• Predictive uncertainty decomposition• Counterfactual resilience exploration• Predictability–instability phase-plane interpretation• Conceptual roadmap toward closed-loop adaptive resilience systems Observed subject-level predictive consistency reached approximately:ρ ≈ 0.50–0.58 across datasets. Median personalized predictability horizons ranged from approximately:20–34 minutes depending on dataset characteristics. All results are exploratory and illustrative.No clinical deployment, therapeutic recommendation, or validated intervention strategy is claimed or implied. Files included:• Main PDF manuscript• Full figure set (Fig.1–11)• LaTeX source• Python demonstration script• README documentation This work is intended as a methodological and conceptual contribution toward adaptive resilience forecasting and longitudinal twin modeling for nonstationary neural dynamics.

Zenodo (CERN European Organization for Nuclear Research)
United States Department of Labor (US)
Functional Brain Connectivity Studies
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