Regional and Seasonal Effects of Geomagnetic Storms on Terrestrial Weather

Abstract It has long been a mystery why small Total Solar Irradiation changes have significant effects on Earth's climate. Solar cycle correlation studies abound but cannot conclusively point to a viable physical mechanism. Here, I show that geomagnetic storms have a profound terrestrial weather impact. Using 67 years of hourly Disturbance storm time (Dst) index and ERA5 atmosphere data over North America, I find geomagnetic storm impacts up to two orders of magnitude larger than the long‐term global mean surface temperature impact attributed to solar activity. Particle precipitation effects such as from cosmic rays, solar energetic particles, or magnetospheric electrons are least consistent with my results. In particular, the cosmic ray–cloudiness hypothesis is falsified by my results. A top‐down mechanism operating directly through the ionosphere or through stratospheric chemistry and the polar vortex appears to be more likely.

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Publication Details

Journal
Geophysical Research Letters
Published
2026-05-19
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1029/2025gl121097
Primary Topic
Ionosphere and magnetosphere dynamics
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
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article

Regional and Seasonal Effects of Geomagnetic Storms on Terrestrial Weather

Geophysical Research Letters
Ionosphere and magnetosphere dynamics
article

Regional and Seasonal Effects of Geomagnetic Storms on Terrestrial Weather

article en

Abstract

Abstract It has long been a mystery why small Total Solar Irradiation changes have significant effects on Earth's climate. Solar cycle correlation studies abound but cannot conclusively point to a viable physical mechanism. Here, I show that geomagnetic storms have a profound terrestrial weather impact. Using 67 years of hourly Disturbance storm time (Dst) index and ERA5 atmosphere data over North America, I find geomagnetic storm impacts up to two orders of magnitude larger than the long‐term global mean surface temperature impact attributed to solar activity. Particle precipitation effects such as from cosmic rays, solar energetic particles, or magnetospheric electrons are least consistent with my results. In particular, the cosmic ray–cloudiness hypothesis is falsified by my results. A top‐down mechanism operating directly through the ionosphere or through stratospheric chemistry and the polar vortex appears to be more likely.

Geophysical Research LettersVol. 53(10)
University of New Hampshire (US), Astronomy and Space (AU)
Climate action
Openalex Percentile: Top 5%
Ionosphere and magnetosphere dynamics
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