KEYNOTE-991 - Adaptive Futility Boundary and Integrated Safety-Efficacy Monitoring in Immuno-Oncology

KEYNOTE-991 was a Phase III trial of pembrolizumab plus enzalutamide in metastatic castration-resistant prostate cancer, discontinued at first interim analysis in March 2023 when both primary endpoints favored placebo. This document argues the failure was not biological but structural: the trial's monitoring architecture was calibrated for cytotoxic chemotherapy temporal logic, not immune checkpoint biology. The intervention rebuilds two operational documents; an adaptive DMC charter with immunotherapy-aware asymmetric futility boundaries, and an integrated safety-efficacy monitoring plan treating discontinuation as an efficacy-modifying variable rather than a tolerability endpoint. Anchored in ICH E6(R2), ICH E9(R1), and published irAE rechallenge literature.

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Publication Details

Journal
Zenodo (CERN European Organization for Nuclear Research)
Published
2026-05-18
DOI
https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.20269923
Primary Topic
Prostate Cancer Treatment and Research
Type
preprint
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preprint

KEYNOTE-991 - Adaptive Futility Boundary and Integrated Safety-Efficacy Monitoring in Immuno-Oncology

Martha Wuya Koroma
Zenodo (CERN European Organization for Nuclear Research)
Prostate Cancer Treatment and Research
preprint

KEYNOTE-991 - Adaptive Futility Boundary and Integrated Safety-Efficacy Monitoring in Immuno-Oncology

Martha Wuya Koroma
preprint en

Abstract

KEYNOTE-991 was a Phase III trial of pembrolizumab plus enzalutamide in metastatic castration-resistant prostate cancer, discontinued at first interim analysis in March 2023 when both primary endpoints favored placebo. This document argues the failure was not biological but structural: the trial's monitoring architecture was calibrated for cytotoxic chemotherapy temporal logic, not immune checkpoint biology. The intervention rebuilds two operational documents; an adaptive DMC charter with immunotherapy-aware asymmetric futility boundaries, and an integrated safety-efficacy monitoring plan treating discontinuation as an efficacy-modifying variable rather than a tolerability endpoint. Anchored in ICH E6(R2), ICH E9(R1), and published irAE rechallenge literature.

Zenodo (CERN European Organization for Nuclear Research)
Good health and well-being
Prostate Cancer Treatment and Research
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