PSI: A Relaxation-Based Framework for Critical Volcanic Transitions

This work proposes the Planetary Stability Interface (PSI), a relaxation-based framework designed to analyze metastable dynamics, critical slowing down, perturbation persistence, and recovery degradation in complex geophysical systems. Rather than interpreting volcanic and tectonic instability solely as a consequence of energetic accumulation, PSI investigates the possibility that catastrophic transitions may also emerge through progressive weakening of dissipative recovery capability. The framework integrates concepts from nonlinear dynamics, stochastic critical-transition theory, metastability, and multiparametric geophysical monitoring into a unified stability-oriented perspective. Potential applications include: volcanic unrest monitoring, hydrothermal instability analysis, tectonic transition dynamics, and comparative evaluation against existing early-warning methodologies. This publication is conceptual and exploratory in nature and is intended to support future empirical validation using real-world geophysical datasets.

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Publication Details

Journal
Zenodo (CERN European Organization for Nuclear Research)
Published
2026-05-18
DOI
https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.20277062
Primary Topic
Ecosystem dynamics and resilience
Type
preprint
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preprint

PSI: A Relaxation-Based Framework for Critical Volcanic Transitions

Martin Petrásek
Zenodo (CERN European Organization for Nuclear Research)
Ecosystem dynamics and resilience
preprint

PSI: A Relaxation-Based Framework for Critical Volcanic Transitions

Martin Petrásek
preprint en

Abstract

This work proposes the Planetary Stability Interface (PSI), a relaxation-based framework designed to analyze metastable dynamics, critical slowing down, perturbation persistence, and recovery degradation in complex geophysical systems. Rather than interpreting volcanic and tectonic instability solely as a consequence of energetic accumulation, PSI investigates the possibility that catastrophic transitions may also emerge through progressive weakening of dissipative recovery capability. The framework integrates concepts from nonlinear dynamics, stochastic critical-transition theory, metastability, and multiparametric geophysical monitoring into a unified stability-oriented perspective. Potential applications include: volcanic unrest monitoring, hydrothermal instability analysis, tectonic transition dynamics, and comparative evaluation against existing early-warning methodologies. This publication is conceptual and exploratory in nature and is intended to support future empirical validation using real-world geophysical datasets.

Zenodo (CERN European Organization for Nuclear Research)
Institute of Organic Synthesis (RU)
Climate action
Ecosystem dynamics and resilience
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