A multi‐label classification approach for functional data based on conformal prediction bands

Abstract Uncertainty quantification in functional data classification is crucial for reliable decision‐making but remains insufficiently addressed in existing methods, which predominantly focus on point predictions. In this paper we propose a novel method for constructing prediction sets within the conformal prediction framework. Our approach begins by improving the construction of functional prediction bands, enhancing their ability to capture the shape characteristics of functional data. Based on these refined bands, we introduce a new nonconformity measure that quantifies the signed distance between a curve and the class‐specific prediction bands. This enables us to construct label prediction sets with valid coverage guarantees at a given confidence level. Extensive simulation studies and real data experiments demonstrate that the proposed method yields prediction sets with high coverage and small ambiguity, effectively quantifying uncertainty while maintaining strong classification performance.

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Publication Details

Journal
Canadian Journal of Statistics
Published
2026-05-18
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1002/cjs.70053
Primary Topic
Machine Learning and Data Classification
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
0.00

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article

A multi‐label classification approach for functional data based on conformal prediction bands

Zhouping Li, Bing‐Yi Jing, Sai Hao
Canadian Journal of Statistics
Machine Learning and Data Classification
article

A multi‐label classification approach for functional data based on conformal prediction bands

Zhouping Li, Bing‐Yi Jing, Sai Hao
article en

Abstract

Abstract Uncertainty quantification in functional data classification is crucial for reliable decision‐making but remains insufficiently addressed in existing methods, which predominantly focus on point predictions. In this paper we propose a novel method for constructing prediction sets within the conformal prediction framework. Our approach begins by improving the construction of functional prediction bands, enhancing their ability to capture the shape characteristics of functional data. Based on these refined bands, we introduce a new nonconformity measure that quantifies the signed distance between a curve and the class‐specific prediction bands. This enables us to construct label prediction sets with valid coverage guarantees at a given confidence level. Extensive simulation studies and real data experiments demonstrate that the proposed method yields prediction sets with high coverage and small ambiguity, effectively quantifying uncertainty while maintaining strong classification performance.

Canadian Journal of Statistics
Shenzhen Institute of Information Technology (CN), Lanzhou University of Technology (CN), Southern University of Science and Technology (CN), Chinese University of Hong Kong, Shenzhen (CN), Lanzhou University of Finance and Economics (CN), Lanzhou University (CN)
National Natural Science Foundation of China
Peace, Justice and strong institutions
Openalex Percentile: Top 4%
Machine Learning and Data Classification
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