Clone-level multi-modal prediction of tumour drug response

Tumour heterogeneity presents a major challenge for precision oncology, as genetically and phenotypically distinct tumour clones may respond differently to therapy. To address this, we introduce scClone2DR, a probabilistic multi-modal framework that predicts drug responses at the level of individual tumour clones by integrating single-cell DNA and RNA sequencing with ex-vivo drug-screening data. In simulations, scClone2DR substantially outperforms alternatives in recovering true drug effects and clonal sensitivities. Applied to 60 melanoma and 21 acute myeloid leukaemia patient samples, the method identifies heterogeneous clonal responses, yields biologically meaningful feature rankings, highlights clones that may be resistant to treatment, and improves the prediction of clinical outcomes compared to models ignoring clonal structure. These results demonstrate that modelling tumour evolution and clonal diversity is crucial for accurate drug-response prediction and provides a foundation for more effective, clone-aware precision oncology.

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Publication Details

Journal
ETH Zürich Research Collection
Published
2026-05-11
DOI
https://doi.org/10.3929/ethz-c-000800154
Primary Topic
Cancer Genomics and Diagnostics
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
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Clone-level multi-modal prediction of tumour drug response

Franziska Singer, Berend Snijder, Guillaume Obozinski, Rudolf Schill et al.
ETH Zürich Research Collection
Cancer Genomics and Diagnostics
article

Clone-level multi-modal prediction of tumour drug response

Franziska Singer, Berend Snijder, Guillaume Obozinski, Rudolf Schill, Quentin Duchemin, Tumor Profiler Consortium, Daniel Trejo Banos, Daniel Stekhoven, Pedro F. Ferreira, Matthias Lienhard, Jack Kuipers, Niko Beerenwinkel, Rebekka Wegmann, Anne Bertolini
article en

Abstract

Tumour heterogeneity presents a major challenge for precision oncology, as genetically and phenotypically distinct tumour clones may respond differently to therapy. To address this, we introduce scClone2DR, a probabilistic multi-modal framework that predicts drug responses at the level of individual tumour clones by integrating single-cell DNA and RNA sequencing with ex-vivo drug-screening data. In simulations, scClone2DR substantially outperforms alternatives in recovering true drug effects and clonal sensitivities. Applied to 60 melanoma and 21 acute myeloid leukaemia patient samples, the method identifies heterogeneous clonal responses, yields biologically meaningful feature rankings, highlights clones that may be resistant to treatment, and improves the prediction of clinical outcomes compared to models ignoring clonal structure. These results demonstrate that modelling tumour evolution and clonal diversity is crucial for accurate drug-response prediction and provides a foundation for more effective, clone-aware precision oncology.

ETH Zürich Research Collection
Good health and well-being
Openalex Percentile: Top 6%
Cancer Genomics and Diagnostics
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