Tendo Economics v3.0: Neutrino-Correlated Market Activation — A Pre-Registered Prospective Study with Social Transmission Hypothesis

This study presents a pre-registered prospective observational study of IceCube Neutrino Observatory GOLD-class alerts (signalness ≥ 0.5) and multi-asset market activation. Building on a retrospective finding (p=0.0051, Mann-Whitney U; DOI: 10.5281/zenodo.20093286), this version introduces: (1) an expanded primary endpoint — activation in ≥3 of 6 pre-specified asset categories within 72 hours; (2) a prospective verification window pre-registered for May 25–30, 2026 (CSS Event Window; KOKU silence: ~166 days); (3) the Wave-Based Social Transmission Hypothesis as a falsifiable mechanistic framework. All theoretical frameworks are published under CC BY 4.0. This draft is timestamped prior to the CSS Window. Prospective results will be incorporated in the final version. ORCID: 0009-0006-2290-6593. Pre-registration DOI: 10.5281/zenodo.20035265.

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Publication Details

Journal
Zenodo (CERN European Organization for Nuclear Research)
Published
2026-05-12
DOI
https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.20130016
Citations
2
Primary Topic
Neutrino Physics Research
Type
preprint
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preprint

Tendo Economics v3.0: Neutrino-Correlated Market Activation — A Pre-Registered Prospective Study with Social Transmission Hypothesis

Yoshimitsu Katayama
2 citations
Zenodo (CERN European Organization for Nuclear Research)
Neutrino Physics Research
preprint

Tendo Economics v3.0: Neutrino-Correlated Market Activation — A Pre-Registered Prospective Study with Social Transmission Hypothesis

Yoshimitsu Katayama
preprint en
2 citations

Abstract

This study presents a pre-registered prospective observational study of IceCube Neutrino Observatory GOLD-class alerts (signalness ≥ 0.5) and multi-asset market activation. Building on a retrospective finding (p=0.0051, Mann-Whitney U; DOI: 10.5281/zenodo.20093286), this version introduces: (1) an expanded primary endpoint — activation in ≥3 of 6 pre-specified asset categories within 72 hours; (2) a prospective verification window pre-registered for May 25–30, 2026 (CSS Event Window; KOKU silence: ~166 days); (3) the Wave-Based Social Transmission Hypothesis as a falsifiable mechanistic framework. All theoretical frameworks are published under CC BY 4.0. This draft is timestamped prior to the CSS Window. Prospective results will be incorporated in the final version. ORCID: 0009-0006-2290-6593. Pre-registration DOI: 10.5281/zenodo.20035265.

Zenodo (CERN European Organization for Nuclear Research)
University of Fukui (JP)
Reduced inequalities
Neutrino Physics Research
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Tendo Economics v3.0: Neutrino-Correlated Market Activation — A Pre-Registered Prospective Study with Social Transmission Hypothesis — Yoshimitsu Katayama · Zenodo (CERN European Organization for Nuclear Research) (2026) | TGRS Research Map | TGRS