A Two-Compartment Antiviral Pulse-Dosing Model Under Resistance Evolution: MSW Mechanisms, Numerical Optimization, and Finite-Time Stability Analysis

Antiviral pulse dosing is shaped by discrete dosing events, two-compartment pharmacokinetics, nonlinear pharmacodynamics, and resistance evolution. To characterize sustained suppression, resistance accumulation, and risk-cost tradeoffs within a unified framework, this study formulates a two-compartment pharmacokinetic-viral dynamic pulse-dosing model with competition between drug-sensitive and drug-resistant strains. Nonlinear metabolic terms, safety constraints, and a mutant selection window (MSW) residence metric are incorporated. Rather than merely superimposing standard logistic growth, Emax pharmacodynamics, and Dirac-delta impulses, the proposed framework couples cross-compartment exposure, MSW residence, resistance ratio feedback, and finite-time stability diagnostics in a discrete-control setting. Pontryagin’s minimum principle is used to derive marginal optimality conditions for impulsive dosing, whereas the numerical implementation adopts a safety-constrained grid search over a finite set of candidate dose intensities. Scenario simulations for SARS-CoV-2 and HIV suggest that, under the assumed mechanisms and parameter ranges examined, high-intensity or high-frequency dosing may improve short-term viral suppression but may also increase MSW crossings and tail residence, thereby amplifying resistance accumulation and finite-time sensitivity risk. The stratified results should therefore be interpreted as a theoretical sensitivity analysis rather than as direct clinical prescribing guidance. The framework may provide a basis for subsequent individualized PK/PD calibration and resistance monitoring.

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Publication Details

Journal
Mathematics
Published
2026-05-12
DOI
https://doi.org/10.3390/math14101645
Primary Topic
Computational Drug Discovery Methods
Type
article
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article

A Two-Compartment Antiviral Pulse-Dosing Model Under Resistance Evolution: MSW Mechanisms, Numerical Optimization, and Finite-Time Stability Analysis

Xi Xi, Yihui Xu
Mathematics
Computational Drug Discovery Methods
article

A Two-Compartment Antiviral Pulse-Dosing Model Under Resistance Evolution: MSW Mechanisms, Numerical Optimization, and Finite-Time Stability Analysis

Xi Xi, Yihui Xu
article en

Abstract

Antiviral pulse dosing is shaped by discrete dosing events, two-compartment pharmacokinetics, nonlinear pharmacodynamics, and resistance evolution. To characterize sustained suppression, resistance accumulation, and risk-cost tradeoffs within a unified framework, this study formulates a two-compartment pharmacokinetic-viral dynamic pulse-dosing model with competition between drug-sensitive and drug-resistant strains. Nonlinear metabolic terms, safety constraints, and a mutant selection window (MSW) residence metric are incorporated. Rather than merely superimposing standard logistic growth, Emax pharmacodynamics, and Dirac-delta impulses, the proposed framework couples cross-compartment exposure, MSW residence, resistance ratio feedback, and finite-time stability diagnostics in a discrete-control setting. Pontryagin’s minimum principle is used to derive marginal optimality conditions for impulsive dosing, whereas the numerical implementation adopts a safety-constrained grid search over a finite set of candidate dose intensities. Scenario simulations for SARS-CoV-2 and HIV suggest that, under the assumed mechanisms and parameter ranges examined, high-intensity or high-frequency dosing may improve short-term viral suppression but may also increase MSW crossings and tail residence, thereby amplifying resistance accumulation and finite-time sensitivity risk. The stratified results should therefore be interpreted as a theoretical sensitivity analysis rather than as direct clinical prescribing guidance. The framework may provide a basis for subsequent individualized PK/PD calibration and resistance monitoring.

MathematicsVol. 14(10)
China Agricultural University (CN)
Openalex Percentile: Top 4%
Computational Drug Discovery Methods
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