Coordinated Day-Ahead and Intra-Day Scheduling of Cascaded Hydro–Solar Hybrid System Considering Curtailment Risk

In recent years, cascaded hydropower (CHP) has been extensively leveraged to enhance the grid-connected penetration of photovoltaic (PV) generation. However, the inherent stochasticity and volatility of high-penetration PV often lead to significant renewable curtailment. To address this challenge, this paper proposes a coordinated day-ahead and intra-day scheduling model that incorporates curtailment risk assessment. The proposed framework employs a two-stage optimization architecture: the day-ahead stage establishes a baseline dispatch schedule with the objective of maximizing total energy production, while the intra-day stage refines this plan through multi-scenario optimization that explicitly accounts for curtailment risk. This synergistic mechanism achieves the objective of “maximizing day-ahead economic benefits and ensuring intra-day renewable accommodation”. Case studies on a specific river basin demonstrate the effectiveness of the proposed model. Simulation results indicate that, compared to conventional energy-maximization approaches, the proposed model significantly reduces intra-day curtailment rates and substantially enhances the integrated accommodation capacity of the hydro–solar hybrid system.