Fortunate Families?
<h3>Abstract</h3> We estimate the effects of large, positive wealth shocks on marriage and fertility among Swedish lottery players. For male winners, wealth increases marriage formation and fertility and likely reduces divorce risk. For female winners, the only clear effect is a higher short-run (but not long-run) divorce risk. The gendered treatment effects are often similar to income gradients. Our findings align with models in which wives derive greater marginal utility from consumption when single than when married, whereas the opposite holds for husbands—but only if marital property is divided unequally upon divorce. We provide descriptive evidence consistent with such unequal division.
Authors
- Erik Lindqvist
- Robert Östling (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5099-2584)
- David Cesarini
- Anastasia Terskaya (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7693-7578)
Institutions
- National Bureau of Economic Research (US)
- Stockholm School of Economics (SE)
- Institute for Social and Economic Research (GB)
- Barcelona School of Economics (ES)
Publication Details
- Journal
- The Journal of Human Resources
- Published
- 2026-05-12
- DOI
- https://doi.org/10.3368/jhr.0824-13793r2
- Primary Topic
- Medieval Philosophy and Theology
- Type
- article
- Field-Weighted Citation Impact
- 0.00
Funders
- Fundación Ramón Areces
- Svenska Handelsbankens Forskningsstiftelse
- Vetenskapsrådet
- Riksbankens Jubileumsfond
- Stockholms Universitet
- Agencia Estatal de Investigación