Fortunate Families?

<h3>Abstract</h3> We estimate the effects of large, positive wealth shocks on marriage and fertility among Swedish lottery players. For male winners, wealth increases marriage formation and fertility and likely reduces divorce risk. For female winners, the only clear effect is a higher short-run (but not long-run) divorce risk. The gendered treatment effects are often similar to income gradients. Our findings align with models in which wives derive greater marginal utility from consumption when single than when married, whereas the opposite holds for husbands—but only if marital property is divided unequally upon divorce. We provide descriptive evidence consistent with such unequal division.

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Publication Details

Journal
The Journal of Human Resources
Published
2026-05-12
DOI
https://doi.org/10.3368/jhr.0824-13793r2
Primary Topic
Medieval Philosophy and Theology
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
0.00

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article

Fortunate Families?

Erik Lindqvist, Robert Östling, David Cesarini, Anastasia Terskaya
The Journal of Human Resources
Medieval Philosophy and Theology
article

Fortunate Families?

Erik Lindqvist, Robert Östling, David Cesarini, Anastasia Terskaya
article en

Abstract

<h3>Abstract</h3> We estimate the effects of large, positive wealth shocks on marriage and fertility among Swedish lottery players. For male winners, wealth increases marriage formation and fertility and likely reduces divorce risk. For female winners, the only clear effect is a higher short-run (but not long-run) divorce risk. The gendered treatment effects are often similar to income gradients. Our findings align with models in which wives derive greater marginal utility from consumption when single than when married, whereas the opposite holds for husbands—but only if marital property is divided unequally upon divorce. We provide descriptive evidence consistent with such unequal division.

The Journal of Human Resources
National Bureau of Economic Research (US), Stockholm School of Economics (SE), Institute for Social and Economic Research (GB), Barcelona School of Economics (ES)
Fundación Ramón Areces, Svenska Handelsbankens Forskningsstiftelse, Vetenskapsrådet, Riksbankens Jubileumsfond, Stockholms Universitet, Agencia Estatal de Investigación
No poverty
Openalex Percentile: Top 2%
Medieval Philosophy and Theology
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