Interpretable machine learning for predicting EUR of shale gas wells in the Weiyuan block

sub-member > drilled length of type I reservoir > 360-day flowback rate > fracturing fluid volume > vertical depth. The first four features contribute positively to the model output to different degrees, while vertical depth has a more complex effect on the model in this study, not showing a simple positive or negative trend. The Optuna-GBDT model, combined with SHAP-based interpretation, provides a practical and efficient idea for EUR prediction in shale gas wells.

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Publication Details

Journal
Scientific Reports
Published
2026-05-11
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-026-52104-7
Primary Topic
Hydrocarbon exploration and reservoir analysis
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
0.00
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article

Interpretable machine learning for predicting EUR of shale gas wells in the Weiyuan block

Nijun Qi, Ruilan Luo, Xizhe Li, Jin Chang et al.
Scientific Reports
Hydrocarbon exploration and reservoir analysis
article

Interpretable machine learning for predicting EUR of shale gas wells in the Weiyuan block

Nijun Qi, Ruilan Luo, Xizhe Li, Jin Chang, Sijie He, Feifei Fang
article en

Abstract

sub-member > drilled length of type I reservoir > 360-day flowback rate > fracturing fluid volume > vertical depth. The first four features contribute positively to the model output to different degrees, while vertical depth has a more complex effect on the model in this study, not showing a simple positive or negative trend. The Optuna-GBDT model, combined with SHAP-based interpretation, provides a practical and efficient idea for EUR prediction in shale gas wells.

Scientific Reports
Chongqing University of Science and Technology (CN), China University of Geosciences (Beijing) (CN), Institute of Porous Flow and Fluid Mechanics (CN), Research Institute of Petroleum Exploration and Development (CN), University of Chinese Academy of Sciences (CN)
Openalex Percentile: Top 9%
Hydrocarbon exploration and reservoir analysis
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Interpretable machine learning for predicting EUR of shale gas wells in the Weiyuan block — Nijun Qi, Ruilan Luo, et al. · Scientific Reports (2026) | TGRS Research Map | TGRS