Interpretable machine learning for predicting EUR of shale gas wells in the Weiyuan block
sub-member > drilled length of type I reservoir > 360-day flowback rate > fracturing fluid volume > vertical depth. The first four features contribute positively to the model output to different degrees, while vertical depth has a more complex effect on the model in this study, not showing a simple positive or negative trend. The Optuna-GBDT model, combined with SHAP-based interpretation, provides a practical and efficient idea for EUR prediction in shale gas wells.
Authors
- Nijun Qi
- Ruilan Luo
- Xizhe Li
- Jin Chang
- Sijie He
- Feifei Fang
Institutions
- Chongqing University of Science and Technology (CN)
- China University of Geosciences (Beijing) (CN)
- Institute of Porous Flow and Fluid Mechanics (CN)
- Research Institute of Petroleum Exploration and Development (CN)
- University of Chinese Academy of Sciences (CN)
Publication Details
- Journal
- Scientific Reports
- Published
- 2026-05-11
- DOI
- https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-026-52104-7
- Primary Topic
- Hydrocarbon exploration and reservoir analysis
- Type
- article
- Field-Weighted Citation Impact
- 0.00