An integrated machine learning framework for EV charging management

As the shift to electric mobility intensifies, unpredictable EV charging challenges grid stability. This study proposes a multi-layered machine learning framework balancing grid optimization and user service. First, session-level prediction models estimated energy and cost; XGBoost achieved the highest energy accuracy ([Formula: see text]), while Random Forest best predicted cost ([Formula: see text]). Second, a station-level forecasting model using XGBoost demonstrated exceptional precision for daily demand ([Formula: see text], MAE=0.90 kWh). Finally, K-Means clustering segmented drivers, revealing a user base dominated by Heavy Energy Users (43.5%) and Occasional Visitors (38.8%). This segmentation enables Charge Point Operators to design personalized services and demand response strategies. Overall, the framework integrates prediction, forecasting, and behavioral segmentation to support scalable, data-driven decisions. Ultimately, these insights equip utility providers and operators with the necessary tools to proactively manage load congestion and optimize capital expenditure planning.

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Publication Details

Journal
Scientific Reports
Published
2026-05-09
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-026-51628-2
Primary Topic
Electric Vehicles and Infrastructure
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
0.00
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article

An integrated machine learning framework for EV charging management

G. S. Asha Rani, Rahul Satheesh, N R Sreekumar, Sheik Mohammed Sulthan
Scientific Reports
Electric Vehicles and Infrastructure
article

An integrated machine learning framework for EV charging management

G. S. Asha Rani, Rahul Satheesh, N R Sreekumar, Sheik Mohammed Sulthan
article en

Abstract

As the shift to electric mobility intensifies, unpredictable EV charging challenges grid stability. This study proposes a multi-layered machine learning framework balancing grid optimization and user service. First, session-level prediction models estimated energy and cost; XGBoost achieved the highest energy accuracy ([Formula: see text]), while Random Forest best predicted cost ([Formula: see text]). Second, a station-level forecasting model using XGBoost demonstrated exceptional precision for daily demand ([Formula: see text], MAE=0.90 kWh). Finally, K-Means clustering segmented drivers, revealing a user base dominated by Heavy Energy Users (43.5%) and Occasional Visitors (38.8%). This segmentation enables Charge Point Operators to design personalized services and demand response strategies. Overall, the framework integrates prediction, forecasting, and behavioral segmentation to support scalable, data-driven decisions. Ultimately, these insights equip utility providers and operators with the necessary tools to proactively manage load congestion and optimize capital expenditure planning.

Scientific Reports
Universiti Teknologi Brunei (BN), Amrita Vishwa Vidyapeetham (IN)
Openalex Percentile: Top 8%
Electric Vehicles and Infrastructure
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