Bayesian Estimation of Normal and Probit Psychometric Models

This paper synthesizes popular approaches to Bayesian estimation of psychometric models that rely on the multivariate normal distribution, including point estimation of posterior central tendency, Gibbs sampling, and Hamiltonian sampling.We place emphasis on the geometry of the posterior distribution, on building intuition by drawing connections to regression, and on providing background about how relevant matrix results are obtained.We also consider how the results can be extended to handle related psychometric models, including popular item response models.The goal is to provide researchers with ideas and tools for designing their own Bayesian estimation methods, which we hope will lead to continued developments and improvements.

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Publication Details

Journal
Psychometrika
Published
2026-05-08
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1017/psy.2026.10119
Primary Topic
Psychometric Methodologies and Testing
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
0.00

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article

Bayesian Estimation of Normal and Probit Psychometric Models

Edgar C. Merkle
Psychometrika
Psychometric Methodologies and Testing
article

Bayesian Estimation of Normal and Probit Psychometric Models

Edgar C. Merkle
article en

Abstract

This paper synthesizes popular approaches to Bayesian estimation of psychometric models that rely on the multivariate normal distribution, including point estimation of posterior central tendency, Gibbs sampling, and Hamiltonian sampling.We place emphasis on the geometry of the posterior distribution, on building intuition by drawing connections to regression, and on providing background about how relevant matrix results are obtained.We also consider how the results can be extended to handle related psychometric models, including popular item response models.The goal is to provide researchers with ideas and tools for designing their own Bayesian estimation methods, which we hope will lead to continued developments and improvements.

Psychometrika
University of Missouri (US)
U.S. Department of Education, Institute of Education Sciences
Gender equality
Openalex Percentile: Top 4%
Psychometric Methodologies and Testing
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