Confidence-Accuracy Alignment in Cardiology Knowledge: Comparing Medical-Specific and General-Purpose Large Language Models Using ACCSAP

= 58.26, p < 0.001): Gemini achieved 87% (95% CI 84-91%), ChatGPT 85% (81-89%), and MedGemma 67% (62-71%). All models reported high confidence, but calibration was modest. Mean confidence differed only slightly between correct and incorrect responses (absolute differences <3%). Brier scores indicated imperfect calibration (Gemini 0.115, ChatGPT 0.137, MedGemma 0.262). ChatGPT demonstrated the strongest confidence-accuracy correlation (r = 0.80, p = 0.005), while Gemini and MedGemma showed weak or nonsignificant alignment. MedGemma exhibited higher uncertainty and lower fidelity across categories. Performance varied by subspecialty, with generalist models outperforming in integrative domains. Generalpurpose LLMs outperformed a medical-specific model on text-based cardiology assessment, suggesting that large-scale general training may confer advantages in complex clinical reasoning. However, all models showed clinically limited confidence calibration, indicating that self-reported certainty is an unreliable indicator of correctness. Until uncertainty estimation improves, LLM use in cardiology should remain supportive and clinician-supervised.

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Publication Details

Journal
The American Journal of Cardiology
Published
2026-05-01
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.amjcard.2026.04.065
Primary Topic
Machine Learning in Healthcare
Type
article
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article

Confidence-Accuracy Alignment in Cardiology Knowledge: Comparing Medical-Specific and General-Purpose Large Language Models Using ACCSAP

Abdulaziz Malik, Shyla Gupta, Ali Zidan, Yazan Saleh et al.
The American Journal of Cardiology
Machine Learning in Healthcare
article

Confidence-Accuracy Alignment in Cardiology Knowledge: Comparing Medical-Specific and General-Purpose Large Language Models Using ACCSAP

Abdulaziz Malik, Shyla Gupta, Ali Zidan, Yazan Saleh, Avi Belbase, Mousa El-Sururi, Rohan Kalasipudi, Reem Al-Rawi, Marco V. Perez
article en

Abstract

= 58.26, p < 0.001): Gemini achieved 87% (95% CI 84-91%), ChatGPT 85% (81-89%), and MedGemma 67% (62-71%). All models reported high confidence, but calibration was modest. Mean confidence differed only slightly between correct and incorrect responses (absolute differences <3%). Brier scores indicated imperfect calibration (Gemini 0.115, ChatGPT 0.137, MedGemma 0.262). ChatGPT demonstrated the strongest confidence-accuracy correlation (r = 0.80, p = 0.005), while Gemini and MedGemma showed weak or nonsignificant alignment. MedGemma exhibited higher uncertainty and lower fidelity across categories. Performance varied by subspecialty, with generalist models outperforming in integrative domains. Generalpurpose LLMs outperformed a medical-specific model on text-based cardiology assessment, suggesting that large-scale general training may confer advantages in complex clinical reasoning. However, all models showed clinically limited confidence calibration, indicating that self-reported certainty is an unreliable indicator of correctness. Until uncertainty estimation improves, LLM use in cardiology should remain supportive and clinician-supervised.

The American Journal of Cardiology
Tufts University (US), Tufts Medical Center (US), University Health Network (CA), St. George's University (GD), University of Ottawa (CA), University of Toronto (CA), Stanford Medicine (US), Stanford University (US)
Openalex Percentile: Top 6%
Machine Learning in Healthcare
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