Agent‑Based Simulation of Institutional–Public Temporal Divergence

Agent‑Based Simulation of Institutional–Public Temporal Divergence (Paper III) is the generative‑mechanism layer of the SignalRupture Conspiracy Shield research program. Where Paper II measured temporal misalignment empirically, Paper III builds a computational model that reproduces those empirical patterns from first principles. The paper simulates public and institutional agents interacting under asymmetric information velocity, legitimacy constraints, and delayed validation pipelines. The result is a generative system in which the statistical signatures identified in Paper II—log‑normal lag distributions, dismissal‑to‑validation asymmetries, and narrative clustering—emerge naturally without requiring coordination, secrecy, or intent. Paper III demonstrates that the Conspiracy Shield is not a deliberate mechanism but an emergent synchronization failure in dual‑speed epistemic systems. It closes the loop between conceptual definition (Paper I), empirical measurement (Paper II), and computational mechanism (Paper III), completing the foundational SR trilogy.

Authors

Publication Details

Journal
Zenodo (CERN European Organization for Nuclear Research)
Published
2026-05-01
DOI
https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.20076616
Primary Topic
Opinion Dynamics and Social Influence
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
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article

Agent‑Based Simulation of Institutional–Public Temporal Divergence

Signal Rupture
Zenodo (CERN European Organization for Nuclear Research)
Opinion Dynamics and Social Influence
article

Agent‑Based Simulation of Institutional–Public Temporal Divergence

Signal Rupture
article en

Abstract

Agent‑Based Simulation of Institutional–Public Temporal Divergence (Paper III) is the generative‑mechanism layer of the SignalRupture Conspiracy Shield research program. Where Paper II measured temporal misalignment empirically, Paper III builds a computational model that reproduces those empirical patterns from first principles. The paper simulates public and institutional agents interacting under asymmetric information velocity, legitimacy constraints, and delayed validation pipelines. The result is a generative system in which the statistical signatures identified in Paper II—log‑normal lag distributions, dismissal‑to‑validation asymmetries, and narrative clustering—emerge naturally without requiring coordination, secrecy, or intent. Paper III demonstrates that the Conspiracy Shield is not a deliberate mechanism but an emergent synchronization failure in dual‑speed epistemic systems. It closes the loop between conceptual definition (Paper I), empirical measurement (Paper II), and computational mechanism (Paper III), completing the foundational SR trilogy.

Zenodo (CERN European Organization for Nuclear Research)
Peace, Justice and strong institutions
Openalex Percentile: Top 6%
Opinion Dynamics and Social Influence
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Agent‑Based Simulation of Institutional–Public Temporal Divergence — Signal Rupture · Zenodo (CERN European Organization for Nuclear Research) (2026) | TGRS Research Map | TGRS