A Joint Affine Optimal Scheduling Method for Source-Network-Load-Storage in High-Energy-Consuming Industrial Parks Considering Wind-Photovoltaic Uncertainty and Correlation

• This paper proposes a correlation-adaptive polygonal affine optimization framework that fuses historical and forecast data to dynamically tighten uncertainty sets, eliminating low-probability extremes without sacrificing robustness. • This paper integrate adjustable electrolytic aluminum loads—modeled via coupled power-current-temperature constraints—and battery storage to enhance renewable accommodation and reduce operating costs. To address the conservatism in economic dispatch caused by source-load uncertainties and correlations among renewable energy sources in industrial park energy systems, this paper proposes a correlation-adaptive polygonal affine optimization dispatch method.First, mathematical models are developed for high-energy-intensity aluminum electrolysis loads, thermal power units, and energy storage systems.Second, based on affine arithmetic theory, an enhanced parallelogram correlation model is constructed to represent uncertainties in wind and photovoltaic power generation as well as load demand. Historical and forecast data are utilized to dynamically adjust the polygonal uncertainty sets, thereby excluding low-probability extreme scenarios.By integrating the synergistic interaction mechanism between aluminum electrolysis loads and energy storage systems, an optimization dispatch model is formulated with the objective of minimizing operational costs.Simulation results show that, compared with conventional interval affine optimization, the proposed method significantly reduces dispatch conservatism while maintaining production continuity and economic feasibility. It effectively improves the accommodation rate of renewable energy and narrows the uncertainty interval of operational costs.The proposed approach provides a high-precision, low-conservatism solution for multi-energy coordinated optimization in industrial parks. Moreover, as the output of day-ahead dispatch, it can serve as secondary boundaries for intraday rolling optimization, thereby supporting preparatory decision-making for short-term electricity trading.

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Publication Details

Journal
Results in Engineering
Published
2026-05-01
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.rineng.2026.110151
Primary Topic
Integrated Energy Systems Optimization
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
0.00

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article

A Joint Affine Optimal Scheduling Method for Source-Network-Load-Storage in High-Energy-Consuming Industrial Parks Considering Wind-Photovoltaic Uncertainty and Correlation

Na Zhang, Jian Yang
Results in Engineering
Integrated Energy Systems Optimization
article

A Joint Affine Optimal Scheduling Method for Source-Network-Load-Storage in High-Energy-Consuming Industrial Parks Considering Wind-Photovoltaic Uncertainty and Correlation

Na Zhang, Jian Yang
article en

Abstract

• This paper proposes a correlation-adaptive polygonal affine optimization framework that fuses historical and forecast data to dynamically tighten uncertainty sets, eliminating low-probability extremes without sacrificing robustness. • This paper integrate adjustable electrolytic aluminum loads—modeled via coupled power-current-temperature constraints—and battery storage to enhance renewable accommodation and reduce operating costs. To address the conservatism in economic dispatch caused by source-load uncertainties and correlations among renewable energy sources in industrial park energy systems, this paper proposes a correlation-adaptive polygonal affine optimization dispatch method.First, mathematical models are developed for high-energy-intensity aluminum electrolysis loads, thermal power units, and energy storage systems.Second, based on affine arithmetic theory, an enhanced parallelogram correlation model is constructed to represent uncertainties in wind and photovoltaic power generation as well as load demand. Historical and forecast data are utilized to dynamically adjust the polygonal uncertainty sets, thereby excluding low-probability extreme scenarios.By integrating the synergistic interaction mechanism between aluminum electrolysis loads and energy storage systems, an optimization dispatch model is formulated with the objective of minimizing operational costs.Simulation results show that, compared with conventional interval affine optimization, the proposed method significantly reduces dispatch conservatism while maintaining production continuity and economic feasibility. It effectively improves the accommodation rate of renewable energy and narrows the uncertainty interval of operational costs.The proposed approach provides a high-precision, low-conservatism solution for multi-energy coordinated optimization in industrial parks. Moreover, as the output of day-ahead dispatch, it can serve as secondary boundaries for intraday rolling optimization, thereby supporting preparatory decision-making for short-term electricity trading.

Results in Engineering
Inner Mongolia Electric Power (China) (CN), Inner Mongolia University of Technology (CN)
National Natural Science Foundation of China, Department of Science and Technology of Inner Mongolia
Affordable and clean energy
Openalex Percentile: Top 10%
Integrated Energy Systems Optimization
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