A Simulation-Based Integrated Decision-Support Framework for Auditable Green Logistics

Background: Green logistics requires decision-support approaches that jointly address cost efficiency, emissions reduction, service reliability, and reporting transparency under dynamic operating conditions. Existing studies often treat optimization, predictive updating, stakeholder coordination, and emissions traceability separately, limiting integration. Methods: This study develops a simulation-based integrated decision-support framework that combines multi-objective mixed-integer linear programming (MILP), machine learning-based travel-time prediction in a rolling-horizon setting, cooperative allocation using a Shapley value mechanism, and ISO 14083:2023-aligned emissions accounting. A permissioned blockchain layer is included as a post-decision governance mechanism to support traceability. The framework is evaluated using industry-calibrated synthetic scenarios over a 30-day planning horizon with 50 independent simulation runs. Results: Under the tested scenarios, the integrated configuration reduced average CO2 emissions per route by 27.6% (±2.4%), improved the cost index by 17.3% relative to the baseline, and increased on-time delivery to 96.8%. Robustness analyses showed average key performance indicator (KPI) deviations below 5%. Component-level analysis suggests that the main operational gains arise from the interaction between predictive updating and prescriptive optimization, while the blockchain layer mainly improves auditability. Conclusions: The framework improves environmental and operational performance under the tested simulation scenarios, although real-world validation remains necessary before deployment-level conclusions can be drawn.