Research on Multi-Timescale Configuration Strategy of Hybrid Energy Storage Based on STL-PDM-VMD Model

Power systems with high renewable penetration impose multi-dimensional demands on energy storage (ES) regulation. Short-duration ES is required for power balance and frequency support, while medium- and long-duration ES is essential for daily, weekly, and seasonal peak shaving and energy time-shifting. Aiming at the challenge of multi-timescale configuration of hybrid energy storage (HES) in the initial planning stage of carbon-neutral transition, this paper proposes an optimal configuration strategy combining STL-PDM-VMD. First, the seasonal and trend decomposition using Loess (STL) is used to extract quarterly trends of annual net power for seasonal ES configuration. Then, the Past Decomposable Mixing (PDM) module in the time-mixer model is applied to decouple and mix multi-scale features of the detrended power curve for monthly and weekly configurations. Finally, an improved Variational Mode Decomposition (VMD) is adopted to decompose daily net power fluctuations and optimize intra-day energy storage schemes. Based on actual data from a carbon-neutral transition region, simulations are carried out and compared with the VMD method with decomposition layers optimized by Gurobi. The results show that the proposed STL-PDM-VMD multi-timescale hybrid energy storage configuration strategy can effectively capture the multi-timescale fluctuation characteristics of net load, significantly improve the Renewable Energy (RE) penetration rate, and ensure the power and energy balance of the new power system at multiple timescales. penetration, and maintain power and energy balance in the new-type power system.