Hemisphere‐Level Comparison of Climate‐Driven Humpback Whale Breeding Migrations to the Eastern Pacific Off Costa Rica

) occurrence off the Pacific coast of Costa Rica from 2001 to 2023, focusing on two Distinct Population Segments (DPSs), the Central America DPS and the Southeast Pacific DPS, which migrate from feeding grounds in opposite hemispheres. Using long-term sightings and Bayesian time-series and habitat models, we quantified the influence of absolute dynamic topography, sea surface temperature, and chlorophyll-a on whale occurrence, and assessed whether environmental conditions increased the likelihood of convergence between the two DPSs. Extreme environmental conditions, including El Niño events and marine heatwaves, negatively affected whale counts, particularly for the Central America DPS, and a sustained decline occurred from 2007 to 2019 followed by recent recovery. Seasonal and interannual patterns indicated a potential temporal overlap of both DPSs between October and November, with anomalous warming in the Northern Hemisphere increasing the probability of overlap. These results demonstrate climate-driven shifts in migratory patterns and connectivity, underscoring the need for continuous monitoring and improved tracking of both DPSs to inform conservation planning, whale-watching management, and the protection of critical breeding habitats.

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Publication Details

Journal
Ecology and Evolution
Published
2026-05-01
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1002/ece3.73594
Primary Topic
Marine animal studies overview
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
0.00

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article

Hemisphere‐Level Comparison of Climate‐Driven Humpback Whale Breeding Migrations to the Eastern Pacific Off Costa Rica

Mario A. Pardo, Sierra Goodman, Lili Pelayo-González, Juan D. Pacheco‐Polanco et al.
Ecology and Evolution
Marine animal studies overview
article

Hemisphere‐Level Comparison of Climate‐Driven Humpback Whale Breeding Migrations to the Eastern Pacific Off Costa Rica

Mario A. Pardo, Sierra Goodman, Lili Pelayo-González, Juan D. Pacheco‐Polanco, Enrique Martínez‐Meyer, David Herra‐Miranda, Lenin Oviedo
article en

Abstract

) occurrence off the Pacific coast of Costa Rica from 2001 to 2023, focusing on two Distinct Population Segments (DPSs), the Central America DPS and the Southeast Pacific DPS, which migrate from feeding grounds in opposite hemispheres. Using long-term sightings and Bayesian time-series and habitat models, we quantified the influence of absolute dynamic topography, sea surface temperature, and chlorophyll-a on whale occurrence, and assessed whether environmental conditions increased the likelihood of convergence between the two DPSs. Extreme environmental conditions, including El Niño events and marine heatwaves, negatively affected whale counts, particularly for the Central America DPS, and a sustained decline occurred from 2007 to 2019 followed by recent recovery. Seasonal and interannual patterns indicated a potential temporal overlap of both DPSs between October and November, with anomalous warming in the Northern Hemisphere increasing the probability of overlap. These results demonstrate climate-driven shifts in migratory patterns and connectivity, underscoring the need for continuous monitoring and improved tracking of both DPSs to inform conservation planning, whale-watching management, and the protection of critical breeding habitats.

Ecology and EvolutionVol. 16(5)
Universidad de Costa Rica (CR), Centro de Investigación Científica y de Educación Superior de Ensenada (MX), Universidad Nacional Autónoma de México (MX)
Earthwatch Institute, Centro de Investigación Científica y de Educación Superior de Ensenada, Baja California
Life below water
Openalex Percentile: Top 8%
Marine animal studies overview
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