Spatial Analysis of Earthquake Risk in Şanlıurfa City Center

Population growth and unplanned land use significantly contribute to transforming natural hazards into disasters. Earthquake-induced losses of life and property are often linked to inadequate planning decisions. The city center of Şanlıurfa provides a recent example, where the 6 February 2023 earthquake resulted in 340 fatalities and substantial material damage. Variations in urban planning over different periods have caused disaster risk to fluctuate even across short distances. This study examines Şanlıurfa’s urban development in terms of earthquake vulnerability. Using Geographic Information Systems (GIS) and the Analytic Hierarchy Process (AHP), the earthquake risk map reveals elevated risk in areas near fault lines and regions with high groundwater levels. Approximately 7% of the area is classified as very low risk, 54% as low risk, 37% as moderate risk, and 2% as high risk. Limited consideration of disaster-focused planning has led to both planned and unplanned developments in hazardous zones. Consequently, construction should prioritize low-risk areas, with necessary precautions applied in high-risk zones when unavoidable.