Consistency between dynamical modeling and photometrically derived masses of fireballs

We present a three-point inverse solution for reconstructing meteoroid deceleration and mass-loss histories from sparse observations constrained only by the entry, peak-brightness, and terminal points. The method combines the α – β analytical formalism with a derivative-free global optimizer and a numerical inversion of the height–velocity relation, enabling the retrieval of physically consistent solutions even when full velocity profiles are unavailable. Applied to the 2017–2018 European Fireball Network (EN) catalog, the approach achieves an 88% convergence rate when fitting only height–velocity pairs, and 63% when terminal and initial masses are also imposed. 52% of mass-constrained solutions (34% overall) yield bulk densities consistent with their P E classes, with higher strength emerging as the primary discriminator among events retaining coherent classifications. Rapidly evolving high-energy, high-mass events show the largest incompatibility with the α – β model. The inversion produces a continuous bulk-density distribution spanning ∼ 300–4000 kg m −3 , in contrast to the discrete densities fixed by P E -based categories. The EN fireball dataset is now supplemented with self-consistent α and β estimates. • A three-point inversion method reconstructs meteoroid deceleration and mass loss from sparse datasets. • Application to the EN 2017–2018 catalog yields self-consistent α and β values for 88% of events. • 34% of EN fireballs yield α - β solutions consistent with photometrically derived masses. • High radiated energy and large initial mass primarily control inconsistencies between dynamical and photometric estimates.

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Publication Details

Journal
Icarus
Published
2026-05-01
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.icarus.2026.117151
Primary Topic
Astro and Planetary Science
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
0.00

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article

Consistency between dynamical modeling and photometrically derived masses of fireballs

Maria Gritsevich, Eloy Peña-Asensio
Icarus
Astro and Planetary Science
article

Consistency between dynamical modeling and photometrically derived masses of fireballs

Maria Gritsevich, Eloy Peña-Asensio
article en

Abstract

We present a three-point inverse solution for reconstructing meteoroid deceleration and mass-loss histories from sparse observations constrained only by the entry, peak-brightness, and terminal points. The method combines the α – β analytical formalism with a derivative-free global optimizer and a numerical inversion of the height–velocity relation, enabling the retrieval of physically consistent solutions even when full velocity profiles are unavailable. Applied to the 2017–2018 European Fireball Network (EN) catalog, the approach achieves an 88% convergence rate when fitting only height–velocity pairs, and 63% when terminal and initial masses are also imposed. 52% of mass-constrained solutions (34% overall) yield bulk densities consistent with their P E classes, with higher strength emerging as the primary discriminator among events retaining coherent classifications. Rapidly evolving high-energy, high-mass events show the largest incompatibility with the α – β model. The inversion produces a continuous bulk-density distribution spanning ∼ 300–4000 kg m −3 , in contrast to the discrete densities fixed by P E -based categories. The EN fireball dataset is now supplemented with self-consistent α and β estimates. • A three-point inversion method reconstructs meteoroid deceleration and mass loss from sparse datasets. • Application to the EN 2017–2018 catalog yields self-consistent α and β values for 88% of events. • 34% of EN fireballs yield α - β solutions consistent with photometrically derived masses. • High radiated energy and large initial mass primarily control inconsistencies between dynamical and photometric estimates.

Icarus
Ural Federal University (RU), University of Helsinki (FI), Helsinki Institute of Physics (FI), Hospital Universitari Sant Joan D'Alacant (ES), Instituto de Astrofísica de Andalucía (ES)
Academy of Finland, Agenzia Spaziale Italiana
Reduced inequalities
Openalex Percentile: Top 7%
Astro and Planetary Science
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Consistency between dynamical modeling and photometrically derived masses of fireballs — Maria Gritsevich, Eloy Peña-Asensio · Icarus (2026) | TGRS Research Map | TGRS