Explainable Artificial Intelligence ( <scp>XAI</scp> ) for Scaling: An Application for Deducing Hydrologic Connectivity at Watershed Scale

ABSTRACT Explainable artificial intelligence (XAI) methods have been applied to interpret deep learning model results. However, applications that integrate XAI with established hydrologic knowledge for process understanding remain limited. Here we show that XAI method, applied at point‐scale, could be used for cross‐scale aggregation of hydrologic responses, a fundamental question in scaling problems, using hydrologic connectivity as a demonstration. Soil moisture and its movement generated by physically based hydrologic model were used to train a long short‐term memory (LSTM) network, whose impacts of inputs were evaluated by XAI methods. Our results suggest that XAI‐based classification can effectively identify the differences in the functional roles of various sub‐regions at watershed scale. The aggregated XAI results could be considered as an explicit and quantitative indicator of hydrologic connectivity development, offering insights to hydrological organisation. This framework could be used to facilitate aggregation of other geophysical responses to advance process understandings.

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Publication Details

Journal
Hydrological Processes
Published
2026-05-01
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1002/hyp.70559
Primary Topic
Hydrology and Watershed Management Studies
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
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article

Explainable Artificial Intelligence ( XAI ) for Scaling: An Application for Deducing Hydrologic Connectivity at Watershed Scale

Qihua Ran, Yifan Chai, Murugesu Sivapalan, Sheng Ye et al.
Hydrological Processes
Hydrology and Watershed Management Studies
article

Explainable Artificial Intelligence ( XAI ) for Scaling: An Application for Deducing Hydrologic Connectivity at Watershed Scale

Qihua Ran, Yifan Chai, Murugesu Sivapalan, Sheng Ye, Jiyu Li, Lin Liu, Honglei Tang
article en

Abstract

ABSTRACT Explainable artificial intelligence (XAI) methods have been applied to interpret deep learning model results. However, applications that integrate XAI with established hydrologic knowledge for process understanding remain limited. Here we show that XAI method, applied at point‐scale, could be used for cross‐scale aggregation of hydrologic responses, a fundamental question in scaling problems, using hydrologic connectivity as a demonstration. Soil moisture and its movement generated by physically based hydrologic model were used to train a long short‐term memory (LSTM) network, whose impacts of inputs were evaluated by XAI methods. Our results suggest that XAI‐based classification can effectively identify the differences in the functional roles of various sub‐regions at watershed scale. The aggregated XAI results could be considered as an explicit and quantitative indicator of hydrologic connectivity development, offering insights to hydrological organisation. This framework could be used to facilitate aggregation of other geophysical responses to advance process understandings.

Hydrological ProcessesVol. 40(5)
Kunming University of Science and Technology (CN), University of Illinois Urbana-Champaign (US), Hohai University (CN), State Key Laboratory of Hydrology-Water Resources and Hydraulic Engineering (CN), Zhejiang Institute of Mechanical and Electrical Engineering (CN), Zhejiang University of Water Resource and Electric Power (CN)
Life in Land
Openalex Percentile: Top 11%
Hydrology and Watershed Management Studies
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Explainable Artificial Intelligence ( <scp>XAI</scp> ) for Scaling: An Application for Deducing Hydrologic Connectivity at Watershed Scale — Qihua Ran, Yifan Chai, et al. · Hydrological Processes (2026) | TGRS Research Map | TGRS