Evaluating Emergency Shelter Resilience Under Population Pressure: A Case Study of Xi’an, China

Urban emergency shelters constitute essential spatial elements within the framework of urban disaster prevention and mitigation. Addressing the shortcomings of existing evaluation methods, which often overlook the relationship between shelters and their served populations, this study utilizes Xi’an as a case study to develop a resilience assessment model that integrates supporting facilities, operational efficiency, and safety performance. To link this model to the served population, the research incorporates the service population pressure index and employs the Gini coefficient alongside the Lorenz curve to assess the congruence between shelter resilience and population distribution. Moreover, the introduction of the intervention priority index and population vulnerability index facilitates a comprehensive determination of shelter intervention priorities. The results reveal that emergency shelters in Xi’an display a spatial pattern characterized by a “single core with multiple centers,” with higher resilience levels, service pressures, and intervention priorities concentrated in the central urban area and lower values observed in peripheral zones. Additionally, a significant spatial mismatch is identified between shelter resilience and population service demands. Despite relying on static population data and not accounting for the effects of population migration, the evaluation framework presented in this study offers a transferable methodological reference for the comprehensive evaluation of shelters in densely populated urban areas, contributing to sustainable urban development.