The Effectiveness of Systemic Immune-Inflammation Index (SII) and Systemic Inflammation Response Index (SIRI) and Model for End-Stage Liver Disease (MELD) Score in Predicting Prognosis in Portal Vein Thrombosis, a Pilot Study

Background/Objectives: Portal vein thrombosis (PVT) is a clinically significant condition in which early risk stratification remains challenging, particularly in emergency settings where rapid decision-making is required. This study aimed to evaluate the prognostic value of the Systemic Immune-Inflammation Index (SII), Systemic Inflammation Response Index (SIRI), and the Model for End-Stage Liver Disease (MELD) score in predicting the need for intensive care in patients with PVT. Methods: A retrospective analysis was conducted on adult patients (>18 years) diagnosed with PVT in the emergency department between January 2018 and December 2024. A total of 29 patients meeting the inclusion and exclusion criteria were included. Demographic characteristics, laboratory parameters, Intensive Care Unit (ICU) admission status, and 90-day mortality were analyzed. The sensitivity and specificity of MELD, SII, and SIRI for predicting ICU admission were calculated. Non-normally distributed variables were expressed as median (interquartile range, IQR) and compared using the Mann–Whitney U test. Results: The mean age of patients was 60.5 ± 16.2 years, and 18/29 (62.1%) were male. ICU admission was required in 9/29 (31.0%) of cases. MELD score (median 18.7 [11.0–21.9] vs. 7.9 [6.7–13.5], p = 0.003), bilirubin (median 2.4 [1.0–4.2] vs. 0.7 [0.4–1.1], p = 0.016), and SIRI (median 6.4 [2.3–21.3] vs. 1.4 [0.6–9.3], p = 0.038) were significantly higher in ICU-admitted patients. MELD score showed 66.7% sensitivity and 95% specificity, while SIRI had 88.9% sensitivity and 55% specificity for ICU prediction. Conclusions: MELD score, bilirubin, and SIRI are significantly associated with ICU admission in PVT patients. Their integration into emergency department protocols may assist in early risk stratification and resource allocation.

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Journal
Diagnostics
Published
2026-04-30
DOI
https://doi.org/10.3390/diagnostics16091368
Primary Topic
Liver Disease and Transplantation
Type
article
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article

The Effectiveness of Systemic Immune-Inflammation Index (SII) and Systemic Inflammation Response Index (SIRI) and Model for End-Stage Liver Disease (MELD) Score in Predicting Prognosis in Portal Vein Thrombosis, a Pilot Study

Turgut Dolanbay, Sevgi Yumrutepe, Bilgehan Demir, Süleyman Nogay et al.
Diagnostics
Liver Disease and Transplantation
article

The Effectiveness of Systemic Immune-Inflammation Index (SII) and Systemic Inflammation Response Index (SIRI) and Model for End-Stage Liver Disease (MELD) Score in Predicting Prognosis in Portal Vein Thrombosis, a Pilot Study

Turgut Dolanbay, Sevgi Yumrutepe, Bilgehan Demir, Süleyman Nogay, Muhammed Eyyüb Polat
article en

Abstract

Background/Objectives: Portal vein thrombosis (PVT) is a clinically significant condition in which early risk stratification remains challenging, particularly in emergency settings where rapid decision-making is required. This study aimed to evaluate the prognostic value of the Systemic Immune-Inflammation Index (SII), Systemic Inflammation Response Index (SIRI), and the Model for End-Stage Liver Disease (MELD) score in predicting the need for intensive care in patients with PVT. Methods: A retrospective analysis was conducted on adult patients (>18 years) diagnosed with PVT in the emergency department between January 2018 and December 2024. A total of 29 patients meeting the inclusion and exclusion criteria were included. Demographic characteristics, laboratory parameters, Intensive Care Unit (ICU) admission status, and 90-day mortality were analyzed. The sensitivity and specificity of MELD, SII, and SIRI for predicting ICU admission were calculated. Non-normally distributed variables were expressed as median (interquartile range, IQR) and compared using the Mann–Whitney U test. Results: The mean age of patients was 60.5 ± 16.2 years, and 18/29 (62.1%) were male. ICU admission was required in 9/29 (31.0%) of cases. MELD score (median 18.7 [11.0–21.9] vs. 7.9 [6.7–13.5], p = 0.003), bilirubin (median 2.4 [1.0–4.2] vs. 0.7 [0.4–1.1], p = 0.016), and SIRI (median 6.4 [2.3–21.3] vs. 1.4 [0.6–9.3], p = 0.038) were significantly higher in ICU-admitted patients. MELD score showed 66.7% sensitivity and 95% specificity, while SIRI had 88.9% sensitivity and 55% specificity for ICU prediction. Conclusions: MELD score, bilirubin, and SIRI are significantly associated with ICU admission in PVT patients. Their integration into emergency department protocols may assist in early risk stratification and resource allocation.

DiagnosticsVol. 16(9)
Malatya Turgut Özal Üniversitesi (TR), Malatya Devlet Hastanesi (TR), Turgut Özal University (TR)
Reduced inequalities
Openalex Percentile: Top 8%
Liver Disease and Transplantation
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