Simultaneous estimation and model choice for big discrete time-to-event data with additive predictors

Discrete-time hazard models are widely used when event times are measured in intervals or are not precisely observed. While these models can be estimated using standard generalized linear model techniques, they rely on extensive data augmentation, making estimation computationally demanding in large-scale, high-dimensional settings. In this article, we demonstrate how the recently proposed batchwise backfitting algorithm, a general framework for scalable estimation and variable selection in distributional regression, can be effectively extended to discrete hazard models. Using both simulated data and a large-scale application on infant mortality in sub-Saharan Africa, we show that the algorithm delivers accurate estimates, automatically selects relevant predictors and scales efficiently to large datasets. The findings underscore the algorithm’s practical utility for analyzing large-scale, complex survival data with high-dimensional covariates.

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Publication Details

Journal
Statistical Modelling
Published
2026-04-29
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1177/1471082x261435241
Primary Topic
Statistical Methods and Inference
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
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article

Simultaneous estimation and model choice for big discrete time-to-event data with additive predictors

Nikolaus Umlauf, Kenneth Harttgen, Johannes Seiler, Benjamin Müller et al.
Statistical Modelling
Statistical Methods and Inference
article

Simultaneous estimation and model choice for big discrete time-to-event data with additive predictors

Nikolaus Umlauf, Kenneth Harttgen, Johannes Seiler, Benjamin Müller, Stefan Lang
article en

Abstract

Discrete-time hazard models are widely used when event times are measured in intervals or are not precisely observed. While these models can be estimated using standard generalized linear model techniques, they rely on extensive data augmentation, making estimation computationally demanding in large-scale, high-dimensional settings. In this article, we demonstrate how the recently proposed batchwise backfitting algorithm, a general framework for scalable estimation and variable selection in distributional regression, can be effectively extended to discrete hazard models. Using both simulated data and a large-scale application on infant mortality in sub-Saharan Africa, we show that the algorithm delivers accurate estimates, automatically selects relevant predictors and scales efficiently to large datasets. The findings underscore the algorithm’s practical utility for analyzing large-scale, complex survival data with high-dimensional covariates.

Statistical Modelling
Universität Innsbruck (AT), ETH Zurich (CH), Institute for Biomedical Engineering (CH)
Good health and well-being
Openalex Percentile: Top 5%
Statistical Methods and Inference
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