Differential peripheral immune dynamics underlie therapeutic response to chemotherapy and chemo-immunotherapy in triple-negative breast cancer

Triple-negative breast cancer (TNBC) remains the most aggressive breast cancer subtype, with limited treatment options and variable response to immune checkpoint inhibitors. While tumor-infiltrating lymphocytes have been extensively studied, the integration of system-level peripheral immune dynamics with mechanistic immune regulation underlying therapeutic response and resistance remain poorly defined. Here, we integrate systems-level immune state modeling with pathway-level mechanistic inference to analyze single-cell RNA sequencing of peripheral blood mononuclear cells from advanced TNBC patients treated with paclitaxel alone (chemotherapy) or in combination with anti-PD-L1 antibody atezolizumab (combination). This framework leverages treatment arm, longitudinal sampling, and clinical response to resolve coordinated immune programs across lymphoid and myeloid compartments. Using this approach, we identified distinct treatment- and response-specific immune states in pre- and post-treatment. Chemotherapy responders displayed pre-treatment adaptive immune priming, whereas combination therapy responders exhibited pre-existing effector T cell activity coupled with tumor tissue PD-L1 expression. In contrast, chemotherapy non-responders developed persistent post-treatment immune dysregulation in regulatory and terminal effector programs, while combination therapy non-responders demonstrated maladaptive remodeling of adaptive and innate lymphoid compartments, including dysfunctional NK and metabolically reprogrammed myeloid populations. Across both regimens, pathways involving protein translation, metabolic adaptation, and stress signaling emerged as critical modulators of response. These findings suggest that coordinated adaptive-innate immune dynamics underlie therapeutic efficacy, whereas systemic immune exhaustion and myeloid immunoregulation lead to resistance. Projection of these peripheral immune programs onto independent I-SPY2 showed concordant associations with tumor immune phenotypes and pathological complete response, supporting generalizability of the identified systemic immune states. Our study demonstrates the utility of an integrative systems-level approach for linking peripheral immune state organization with mechanistic insights, informing immune response and resistance in TNBC.