Shining Light on a Statistical Dark Age: Postal Activity in Antebellum America

American economic historians generally believe that U.S. modern economic growth began before 1840, was broadly based, and the acceleration was gradual. These claims are treated as conjectures rather than solid conclusions because the census did not publish good economic data before 1840. But the earlier period was not a “statistical dark age,” as sometimes asserted. After 1817, systematic statistics on postal activity were available at the local level at high frequencies. These data shed light on the timing and sources of the onset of modern economic growth, the patterns of regional development, and the spread of a culture of communication.

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Publication Details

Journal
The Journal of Economic History
Published
2026-04-30
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1017/s002205072610134x
Primary Topic
Historical Economic and Social Studies
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
0.00
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article

Shining Light on a Statistical Dark Age: Postal Activity in Antebellum America

Paul W. Rhode
The Journal of Economic History
Historical Economic and Social Studies
article

Shining Light on a Statistical Dark Age: Postal Activity in Antebellum America

Paul W. Rhode
article en

Abstract

American economic historians generally believe that U.S. modern economic growth began before 1840, was broadly based, and the acceleration was gradual. These claims are treated as conjectures rather than solid conclusions because the census did not publish good economic data before 1840. But the earlier period was not a “statistical dark age,” as sometimes asserted. After 1817, systematic statistics on postal activity were available at the local level at high frequencies. These data shed light on the timing and sources of the onset of modern economic growth, the patterns of regional development, and the spread of a culture of communication.

The Journal of Economic History
University of Michigan (US)
Decent work and economic growth
Openalex Percentile: Top 5%
Historical Economic and Social Studies
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