CNN–Attention–LSTM with Bayesian Optimization for Multi-Level Sump Well Anomaly Early Warning

Reliable anomaly early warning for hydropower station sump wells remains challenging due to the strong nonlinearity of water level dynamics and the limited adaptability of conventional fixed-threshold alarms. Here, we present a hybrid deep learning framework—termed CNN–Attention–LSTM–BO—that fuses multi-scale local feature extraction, adaptive temporal weighting, and sequential dependency modeling within a unified architecture, with all critical hyperparameters tuned via Bayesian optimization. A four-dimensional input representation is first constructed from the raw water level signal and its first- and second-order differences together with the drainage pump operating state, capturing both trend and transient information. One-dimensional convolutions at multiple kernel scales encode short-range fluctuation patterns, a Bahdanau-style temporal attention layer selectively amplifies informative time steps, and a stacked LSTM propagates long-horizon risk dependencies. At the decision stage, a dual dynamic thresholding scheme couples an improved 3σ criterion with kernel density estimation (KDE) to partition the smoothed risk score into three graded alert levels (normal/warning/critical), replacing the binary alarm paradigm. Experiments on the SWaT benchmark yield an average area under the ROC curve (AUC) of 0.9246, an average Accuracy of 0.8812, and a best single-well false alarm rate (FAR) of 3.21% (Well-4), with an average FAR of 8.97% across three wells, outperforming both traditional limit-value alarms and ablated variants lacking CNN or attention modules.

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Publication Details

Journal
Mathematics
Published
2026-04-30
DOI
https://doi.org/10.3390/math14091528
Primary Topic
Water Systems and Optimization
Type
article
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article

CNN–Attention–LSTM with Bayesian Optimization for Multi-Level Sump Well Anomaly Early Warning

Yining Lin, Changchun Cai
Mathematics
Water Systems and Optimization
article

CNN–Attention–LSTM with Bayesian Optimization for Multi-Level Sump Well Anomaly Early Warning

Yining Lin, Changchun Cai
article en

Abstract

Reliable anomaly early warning for hydropower station sump wells remains challenging due to the strong nonlinearity of water level dynamics and the limited adaptability of conventional fixed-threshold alarms. Here, we present a hybrid deep learning framework—termed CNN–Attention–LSTM–BO—that fuses multi-scale local feature extraction, adaptive temporal weighting, and sequential dependency modeling within a unified architecture, with all critical hyperparameters tuned via Bayesian optimization. A four-dimensional input representation is first constructed from the raw water level signal and its first- and second-order differences together with the drainage pump operating state, capturing both trend and transient information. One-dimensional convolutions at multiple kernel scales encode short-range fluctuation patterns, a Bahdanau-style temporal attention layer selectively amplifies informative time steps, and a stacked LSTM propagates long-horizon risk dependencies. At the decision stage, a dual dynamic thresholding scheme couples an improved 3σ criterion with kernel density estimation (KDE) to partition the smoothed risk score into three graded alert levels (normal/warning/critical), replacing the binary alarm paradigm. Experiments on the SWaT benchmark yield an average area under the ROC curve (AUC) of 0.9246, an average Accuracy of 0.8812, and a best single-well false alarm rate (FAR) of 3.21% (Well-4), with an average FAR of 8.97% across three wells, outperforming both traditional limit-value alarms and ablated variants lacking CNN or attention modules.

MathematicsVol. 14(9)
Hohai University (CN)
Clean water and sanitation
Openalex Percentile: Top 10%
Water Systems and Optimization
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CNN–Attention–LSTM with Bayesian Optimization for Multi-Level Sump Well Anomaly Early Warning — Yining Lin, Changchun Cai · Mathematics (2026) | TGRS Research Map | TGRS