Punishing Financial Crimes: The Impact of Prison Sentences on Defendants and Their Colleagues

Financial crimes are costly to society but less severely punished than other nonviolent crimes. We investigate whether prison sentences reduce financial crimes. Using random assignment of judges in Finland to identify causal impacts, we find a prison sentence reduces defendant reoffending by 42.9 percentage points three years postsentencing. Given prior evidence of financial misconduct “contagion,” we also explore spillovers on colleagues. A prison sentence reduces the likelihood that a financial crime defendant’s colleagues commit crimes by 27 percentage points, suggesting broader deterrent effects of harsher punishments, but only for fraud cases. Last, we show financial crimes are not victimless crimes. (JEL K14, K22, K41, K42)

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Publication Details

Journal
American Economic Journal Economic Policy
Published
2026-04-29
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1257/pol.20240121
Primary Topic
Law, Economics, and Judicial Systems
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
0.00
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article

Punishing Financial Crimes: The Impact of Prison Sentences on Defendants and Their Colleagues

Kristiina Huttunen, Emily Nix, David C Macdonald, Martti Kaila
American Economic Journal Economic Policy
Law, Economics, and Judicial Systems
article

Punishing Financial Crimes: The Impact of Prison Sentences on Defendants and Their Colleagues

Kristiina Huttunen, Emily Nix, David C Macdonald, Martti Kaila
article en

Abstract

Financial crimes are costly to society but less severely punished than other nonviolent crimes. We investigate whether prison sentences reduce financial crimes. Using random assignment of judges in Finland to identify causal impacts, we find a prison sentence reduces defendant reoffending by 42.9 percentage points three years postsentencing. Given prior evidence of financial misconduct “contagion,” we also explore spillovers on colleagues. A prison sentence reduces the likelihood that a financial crime defendant’s colleagues commit crimes by 27 percentage points, suggesting broader deterrent effects of harsher punishments, but only for fraud cases. Last, we show financial crimes are not victimless crimes. (JEL K14, K22, K41, K42)

American Economic Journal Economic PolicyVol. 18(2)
Marshall B. Ketchum University (US), VATT Institute for Economic Research (FI), University of Glasgow (GB), Okanagan University College (CA)
Peace, Justice and strong institutions
Openalex Percentile: Top 5%
Law, Economics, and Judicial Systems
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