Role of North Pacific Sea Surface Temperatures in Linking Summer Beaufort Sea Ice to Preceding‐Winter ENSO

Abstract Interannual variability of the Beaufort Sea (BFS) ice notably affects the oceanic circulation, pelagic and sympagic ecosystems, and navigation activities. However, key physical pathways regulating interseasonal connections between the El Niño‐Southern Oscillation (ENSO) and BFS ice concentration anomalies in early‐summer (May–July) remain unclear. Here, we established that winter (December‐January‐February) ENSO events, identified by the Niño 3 index, explained approximately 25% of BFS ice interannual variability in summer. We demonstrated that ENSO‐induced North Pacific sea surface temperature (NPSST) anomalies persist into summer, triggering poleward‐propagating Rossby waves by strengthening transient eddy vorticity forcing. The resulting anticyclonic and associated easterly anomalies over the BFS drive westward ice drift and subsequent ice reduction. ENSO‐pacemaker simulations confirmed the causal relationship, estimating that NPSSTs contribute 61% to the ENSO‐induced BFS ice anomalies in early summer. Our results emphasize the crucial role of NPSSTs for the ENSO‐Arctic teleconnection, with important implications for seasonal sea‐ice predictability.

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Publication Details

Journal
Geophysical Research Letters
Published
2026-04-30
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1029/2025gl120872
Primary Topic
Arctic and Antarctic ice dynamics
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
0.00

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article

Role of North Pacific Sea Surface Temperatures in Linking Summer Beaufort Sea Ice to Preceding‐Winter ENSO

Shutao Cao, Yuzhuo Peng, Ruizao Sun, Xu Yuan et al.
Geophysical Research Letters
Arctic and Antarctic ice dynamics
article

Role of North Pacific Sea Surface Temperatures in Linking Summer Beaufort Sea Ice to Preceding‐Winter ENSO

Shutao Cao, Yuzhuo Peng, Ruizao Sun, Xu Yuan, Anmin Duan
article en

Abstract

Abstract Interannual variability of the Beaufort Sea (BFS) ice notably affects the oceanic circulation, pelagic and sympagic ecosystems, and navigation activities. However, key physical pathways regulating interseasonal connections between the El Niño‐Southern Oscillation (ENSO) and BFS ice concentration anomalies in early‐summer (May–July) remain unclear. Here, we established that winter (December‐January‐February) ENSO events, identified by the Niño 3 index, explained approximately 25% of BFS ice interannual variability in summer. We demonstrated that ENSO‐induced North Pacific sea surface temperature (NPSST) anomalies persist into summer, triggering poleward‐propagating Rossby waves by strengthening transient eddy vorticity forcing. The resulting anticyclonic and associated easterly anomalies over the BFS drive westward ice drift and subsequent ice reduction. ENSO‐pacemaker simulations confirmed the causal relationship, estimating that NPSSTs contribute 61% to the ENSO‐induced BFS ice anomalies in early summer. Our results emphasize the crucial role of NPSSTs for the ENSO‐Arctic teleconnection, with important implications for seasonal sea‐ice predictability.

Geophysical Research LettersVol. 53(9)
China Meteorological Administration (CN), Jimei University (CN), Xiamen University (CN)
China Postdoctoral Science Foundation, China Scholarship Council
Life below water
Openalex Percentile: Top 6%
Arctic and Antarctic ice dynamics
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