A Functional Trait‐Based Approach to Mapping Climate‐Driven Changes in Temperature‐Dependent Feeding Suitability

Climate change is altering species distributions and trophic interactions, necessitating predictive tools for assessing future ecological impacts. This study applies thermal performance curves (TPCs) to project temperature-dependent changes in relative feeding suitability across a set of freshwater, marine, and terrestrial species under baseline and mid-century climate conditions. Using a normalized Thermal Habitat Suitability (THS) index, we mapped spatial patterns of potential feeding performance and categorized them into five standardized suitability classes (0-1 range). Results indicate that, within the limited sample analyzed, freshwater species tended to show increased feeding efficiency, while marine and terrestrial species exhibited more variable trends. The study emphasizes the necessity of integrating prey distribution modeling to account for spatial match-mismatch dynamics under climate change. Overall, this approach provides a temperature-based decision-support tool that can help managers prioritize species for monitoring based on projected shifts in feeding suitability under future climate conditions.

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Publication Details

Journal
Ecology and Evolution
Published
2026-05-01
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1002/ece3.73623
Primary Topic
Species Distribution and Climate Change
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
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article

A Functional Trait‐Based Approach to Mapping Climate‐Driven Changes in Temperature‐Dependent Feeding Suitability

Guillaume Marchessaux, Sadi̇ Aksu, Ali Serhan Tarkan
Ecology and Evolution
Species Distribution and Climate Change
article

A Functional Trait‐Based Approach to Mapping Climate‐Driven Changes in Temperature‐Dependent Feeding Suitability

Guillaume Marchessaux, Sadi̇ Aksu, Ali Serhan Tarkan
article en

Abstract

Climate change is altering species distributions and trophic interactions, necessitating predictive tools for assessing future ecological impacts. This study applies thermal performance curves (TPCs) to project temperature-dependent changes in relative feeding suitability across a set of freshwater, marine, and terrestrial species under baseline and mid-century climate conditions. Using a normalized Thermal Habitat Suitability (THS) index, we mapped spatial patterns of potential feeding performance and categorized them into five standardized suitability classes (0-1 range). Results indicate that, within the limited sample analyzed, freshwater species tended to show increased feeding efficiency, while marine and terrestrial species exhibited more variable trends. The study emphasizes the necessity of integrating prey distribution modeling to account for spatial match-mismatch dynamics under climate change. Overall, this approach provides a temperature-based decision-support tool that can help managers prioritize species for monitoring based on projected shifts in feeding suitability under future climate conditions.

Ecology and EvolutionVol. 16(5)
Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique (FR), Université de Toulon (FR), University of Łódź (PL), Institut de Recherche pour le Développement (FR), Eskişehir Osmangazi University (TR), Muğla University (TR)
Climate action
Openalex Percentile: Top 8%
Species Distribution and Climate Change
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A Functional Trait‐Based Approach to Mapping Climate‐Driven Changes in Temperature‐Dependent Feeding Suitability — Guillaume Marchessaux, Sadi̇ Aksu, et al. · Ecology and Evolution (2026) | TGRS Research Map | TGRS