Real-Time Compensation of Photovoltaic Power Forecast Errors Using a DC-Link-Integrated Supercapacitor Energy Storage System

Photovoltaic (PV) power generation is inherently intermittent due to unpredictable irradiance variations, posing significant challenges for grid integration. While conventional power smoothing strategies mitigate short-term fluctuations, they do not explicitly enforce the tracking of a scheduled power trajectory. This paper proposes a dispatchable PV framework that integrates a hybrid convolutional neural network-long short-term memory (CNN-LSTM) model for precise day-ahead power forecasting with a real-time supercapacitor (SC) compensation strategy. The CNN-LSTM network captures complex spatiotemporal meteorological dependencies to generate a robust day-ahead reference trajectory. Concurrently, a supercapacitor energy storage system (SC-ESS) integrated at the DC-link level via a bidirectional buck–boost converter actively balances the instantaneous mismatch between this forecast trajectory and the actual PV generation. Unlike filter-based hybrid methods, the SC-ESS is employed as a direct forecast error actuator in a closed-loop control scheme. This strategy strictly enforces real-time forecast tracking while preserving maximum power point tracking (MPPT) and DC-link voltage stability. Simulations and laboratory experiments under rapidly varying irradiance confirm that the proposed method significantly reduces power deviations from the forecast reference and improves short-term power predictability without imposing excessive stress on the SC. This forecast-aware strategy effectively enhances the dispatchability of PV systems, providing a practical solution for grid-supportive operation.

Authors

Institutions

Publication Details

Journal
Energies
Published
2026-05-02
DOI
https://doi.org/10.3390/en19092204
Primary Topic
Solar Radiation and Photovoltaics
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
0.00
Controls
|||
ALL TIME
JAN
FEB
MAR
APR
MAY
JUN
JUL
AUG
SEP
OCT
article

Real-Time Compensation of Photovoltaic Power Forecast Errors Using a DC-Link-Integrated Supercapacitor Energy Storage System

Dinçer Gökcen, Şeyma Songül Özdilli, Isik Cadirci
Energies
Solar Radiation and Photovoltaics
article

Real-Time Compensation of Photovoltaic Power Forecast Errors Using a DC-Link-Integrated Supercapacitor Energy Storage System

Dinçer Gökcen, Şeyma Songül Özdilli, Isik Cadirci
article en

Abstract

Photovoltaic (PV) power generation is inherently intermittent due to unpredictable irradiance variations, posing significant challenges for grid integration. While conventional power smoothing strategies mitigate short-term fluctuations, they do not explicitly enforce the tracking of a scheduled power trajectory. This paper proposes a dispatchable PV framework that integrates a hybrid convolutional neural network-long short-term memory (CNN-LSTM) model for precise day-ahead power forecasting with a real-time supercapacitor (SC) compensation strategy. The CNN-LSTM network captures complex spatiotemporal meteorological dependencies to generate a robust day-ahead reference trajectory. Concurrently, a supercapacitor energy storage system (SC-ESS) integrated at the DC-link level via a bidirectional buck–boost converter actively balances the instantaneous mismatch between this forecast trajectory and the actual PV generation. Unlike filter-based hybrid methods, the SC-ESS is employed as a direct forecast error actuator in a closed-loop control scheme. This strategy strictly enforces real-time forecast tracking while preserving maximum power point tracking (MPPT) and DC-link voltage stability. Simulations and laboratory experiments under rapidly varying irradiance confirm that the proposed method significantly reduces power deviations from the forecast reference and improves short-term power predictability without imposing excessive stress on the SC. This forecast-aware strategy effectively enhances the dispatchability of PV systems, providing a practical solution for grid-supportive operation.

EnergiesVol. 19(9)
Hacettepe University (TR)
Affordable and clean energy
Openalex Percentile: Top 8%
Solar Radiation and Photovoltaics
AI Navigator

Ask Laika to Summarize, Analyze, and Connect papers live on the map.

Summarize Papers & Methodologies

Extract key findings, datasets, and comparative methods across publications.

Benchmark Rankings & Visual Analytics

Rank top research institutions, authors, funders, topics, and journals by Field-Weighted Citation Impact (FWCI) and paper volume with instant charts.

Connect Distant Disciplines

Bridge topological clusters on the map to find hidden collaborative intersections.