Macaque Area LIP Reflects Confidence-Dependent Changes in Decision Policy

The process of forming a decision gives rise to an estimate of its quality or likelihood of success. This graded sense of confidence is important for guiding subsequent decisions, but a neural mechanism linking subjective confidence to formation of the next decision has not been identified. We trained rhesus monkeys to report a perceptual choice and simultaneous confidence judgment in a reaction-time (RT) motion discrimination task. Monkeys were more likely to repeat a rewarded choice when they reported low confidence on the previous trial, and showed greater changes in RT after a surprising outcome (low-confidence correct or high-confidence error). Neural activity in the lateral intraparietal area (LIP) encoded the previous trial's choice and confidence more strongly after a low-confidence correct trial, and the strength of history encoding was correlated with a trial-by-trial estimate of choice bias. Ramping dynamics of the decoded decision variable also depended systematically on the conjunction of confidence and reward on the previous trial, in a manner that reflected individual differences between animals. The findings suggest that LIP not only reflects the formation of the current decision but could participate in confidence-guided learning via adjustments of the subsequent decision process.

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Publication Details

Journal
bioRxiv (Cold Spring Harbor Laboratory)
Published
2026-04-30
DOI
https://doi.org/10.64898/2026.04.27.721150
Primary Topic
Neural and Behavioral Psychology Studies
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
0.00

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article

Macaque Area LIP Reflects Confidence-Dependent Changes in Decision Policy

Christopher R. Fetsch, Miguel Vivar-Lazo, Mengyu Serene Tu
bioRxiv (Cold Spring Harbor Laboratory)
Neural and Behavioral Psychology Studies
article

Macaque Area LIP Reflects Confidence-Dependent Changes in Decision Policy

Christopher R. Fetsch, Miguel Vivar-Lazo, Mengyu Serene Tu
article en

Abstract

The process of forming a decision gives rise to an estimate of its quality or likelihood of success. This graded sense of confidence is important for guiding subsequent decisions, but a neural mechanism linking subjective confidence to formation of the next decision has not been identified. We trained rhesus monkeys to report a perceptual choice and simultaneous confidence judgment in a reaction-time (RT) motion discrimination task. Monkeys were more likely to repeat a rewarded choice when they reported low confidence on the previous trial, and showed greater changes in RT after a surprising outcome (low-confidence correct or high-confidence error). Neural activity in the lateral intraparietal area (LIP) encoded the previous trial's choice and confidence more strongly after a low-confidence correct trial, and the strength of history encoding was correlated with a trial-by-trial estimate of choice bias. Ramping dynamics of the decoded decision variable also depended systematically on the conjunction of confidence and reward on the previous trial, in a manner that reflected individual differences between animals. The findings suggest that LIP not only reflects the formation of the current decision but could participate in confidence-guided learning via adjustments of the subsequent decision process.

bioRxiv (Cold Spring Harbor Laboratory)
Allen Institute for Brain Science (US), Johns Hopkins University (US), Johns Hopkins Medicine (US)
France-Merrick Foundation, Whitehall Foundation
Reduced inequalities, Peace, Justice and strong institutions
Openalex Percentile: Top 9%
Neural and Behavioral Psychology Studies
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Macaque Area LIP Reflects Confidence-Dependent Changes in Decision Policy — Christopher R. Fetsch, Miguel Vivar-Lazo, et al. · bioRxiv (Cold Spring Harbor Laboratory) (2026) | TGRS Research Map | TGRS