Impact of Agricultural Subsidies on Farmers’ Black Soil Cultivated Land Use Efficiency—The Mediating Role of Farm Scale

Improving cultivated land use efficiency is widely regarded as a core issue in ensuring national food security. As one of the key policy instruments supporting agricultural development, agricultural subsidies are considered to play an important role in promoting cultivated land use efficiency. Using micro-survey data from 449 farm households in a typical black soil region of Heilongjiang Province, this study employs the stochastic frontier analysis (SFA) model, the fractional logit model, and the mediation effect model to explore the potential impact of agricultural subsidies on black soil cultivated land use efficiency, as well as the potential mediating pathway at farm scale. The results suggest the following conclusions: (1) Different types of agricultural subsidies appear to have heterogeneous effects on black soil cultivated land use efficiency. Specifically, producer subsidies and total agricultural subsidies appear to exhibit nonlinear relationships with black soil cultivated land use efficiency; however, within the sample range, the overall effects tend to be negative, whereas cultivated land fertility protection subsidies are also associated with lower black soil cultivated land use efficiency. (2) Farm scale appears to serve as a potential mediating pathway linking producer subsidies and total agricultural subsidies to cultivated land use efficiency. (3) Under different conditions of land fragmentation and farm scale, the mediating pathway at farm scale appears to vary. A mediating pathway is observed among highly fragmented landholdings and small-scale farmers, whereas it is not evident among low fragmentation landholdings and large-scale farmers. Based on these findings, this study suggests that the study area may consider optimizing the structure of agricultural subsidies to promote moderate-scale farming and to improve the coordination mechanism between agricultural technical training and regulatory supervision in order to enhance black soil cultivated land use efficiency.