Differential Impacts of Water Resource Abundance and Water Use Efficiency on Urban Economic Resilience

As the most critical binding constraint in the Yellow River Basin, the endowment and allocation efficiency of water resources significantly influence the stability and sustainability of urban economic systems. However, the direction, intensity, and heterogeneity of the impacts of water resource abundance and water use efficiency on urban economic resilience remain unclear. Therefore, to explore the intrinsic relationship between water resources and urban economic resilience and to identify effective pathways for enhancing urban risk resistance, this paper employs a fixed-effects model to empirically examine the differential impacts based on panel data from 78 prefecture-level cities in the Yellow River Basin from 2011 to 2023. The results show that: (1) Water resource abundance exerts a significant inhibitory effect on urban economic resilience, while water use efficiency exhibits a significant promoting effect. (2) Market demand, government intervention and opening up exacerbate the negative impact of water resource abundance and also strengthen the positive impact of water use efficiency. (3) The negative impact of water resource abundance is significant only in resource-based cities, water-abundant cities, cities in the lower reaches, and cities with high economic development, high urbanization, and high technology input. In contrast, the positive impact of water use efficiency is significant in most cities, and it is more pronounced in resource-based cities, water-abundant cities, cities in the middle reaches, and cities with high economic development and high urbanization. These findings provide important insights for enhancing urban resilience and promoting sustainable development.