Synergistic Changes in Wetland Carbon Storage and Habitat Quality in the Western Part of Jilin Province and Their Response to Landscape Patterns

As a key component of ecosystems, the synergistic relationship between wetland carbon storage and habitat quality is vital for maintaining ecological functions, and its evolution is profoundly influence by changes in wetlands. This study focuses on wetlands in western Jilin Province. Based on four sets of land use data from 2010 to 2023 and utilizing the InVEST model, combined with methods such as spatial autocorrelation, the Coupled Coordination Degree Model, and the GeoDetector, the study analyzed the co-variation of carbon storage and habitat quality, as well as their response to landscape patterns. The study found that between 2010 and 2023, the wetland area increased by a net 858.13 km2, and landscape fragmentation was generally alleviated, although local connectivity continued to degrade. Regional carbon storage increased by 68.1%, totaling 7.43 × 106 Mg, while the habitat quality index exhibited high spatiotemporal stability, fluctuating marginally between 0.609 and 0.621. Spatially, high-value areas remained primarily concentrated within nature reserves. Results of bivariate spatial autocorrelation analysis revealed a strengthening of spatial positive autocorrelation between carbon storage and habitat quality, with Moran’s I increasing from 0.410 to 0.501. The coupled coordination degree model further confirmed that the level of synergy between the two services exhibited a pattern of higher values in the north and lower values in the south, and that areas of high coordination expanded significantly outward following restoration projects. GeoDetector analysis indicates that the largest patch index is the core factor driving the synergistic development of ecosystem services. The results also suggest that the integrity of core wetland patches and a heterogeneous landscape pattern can promote the synergistic improvement of carbon storage and habitat quality through boundary effects and habitat complementarity.