The Inverse-Wisdom Law: Architectural Tribalism and the Consensus Paradox in Agentic Swarms

Abstract As AI transitions toward multi-agent systems (MAS), research paradigms operate on the assumption that agent collaboration mirrors the ''Wisdom of the Crowd.'' We challenge this assumption by formalizing the \textit{Consensus Paradox}, a phenomenon in which agentic swarms prioritize internal agreement over logical truth. Through 36 experiments with 12,804 trajectories across three benchmarks (GAIA, Multi-Challenge, and SWE-bench) and three state-of-the-art (SOTA) model families (Gemini 3.1 Pro, Claude Sonnet 4.6, and GPT-5.4), we derive and empirically validate the \textit{Inverse-Wisdom Law}. In kinship-dominant swarms, adding agents increases the stability of erroneous trajectories rather than the probability of truth. The introduction of additional logical audits converges the system toward a \textit{Cascade Point} where internal disagreement entropy hits zero while factual error hits unity. Across 12 family configurations of a three-agent chain, we establish the \textit{Architectural Tribalism Asymmetry} as a reproducible inference-time property of the model family that synthesizes the final answer. We demonstrate that terminal swarm integrity is strictly gated by the synthesizer's receptive logic rather than aggregate agent quality. A homogeneous Gemini swarm reached this Cascade Point in $100\%$ of Multi-Challenge trajectories. Even when the reviewing agent rejected a planted error in every trajectory, a Gemini synthesizer reinstated it $60.9\%$ of the time. Conversely, with the first two agents held fixed, swapping only the synthesizer's model family cut terminal error from $91.7\%$ to $23.6\%$. We define the \textit{Tribalism Coefficient} ($\tau$) and the \textit{Sycophantic Weight} ($\sigma$) as the primary determinants of swarm failure. Finally, we establish the \textit{Heterogeneity Mandate} as a foundational safety requirement for resilient agentic architectures.

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Publication Details

Journal
Research Square
Published
2026-11-06
DOI
https://doi.org/10.21203/rs.3.rs-11425642/v1
Citations
2
Primary Topic
Multi-Agent Systems and Negotiation
Type
preprint
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preprint

The Inverse-Wisdom Law: Architectural Tribalism and the Consensus Paradox in Agentic Swarms

Dahlia Shehata, Ming Li
2 citations
Research Square
Multi-Agent Systems and Negotiation
preprint

The Inverse-Wisdom Law: Architectural Tribalism and the Consensus Paradox in Agentic Swarms

Dahlia Shehata, Ming Li
preprint en
2 citations

Abstract

Abstract As AI transitions toward multi-agent systems (MAS), research paradigms operate on the assumption that agent collaboration mirrors the ''Wisdom of the Crowd.'' We challenge this assumption by formalizing the \textit{Consensus Paradox}, a phenomenon in which agentic swarms prioritize internal agreement over logical truth. Through 36 experiments with 12,804 trajectories across three benchmarks (GAIA, Multi-Challenge, and SWE-bench) and three state-of-the-art (SOTA) model families (Gemini 3.1 Pro, Claude Sonnet 4.6, and GPT-5.4), we derive and empirically validate the \textit{Inverse-Wisdom Law}. In kinship-dominant swarms, adding agents increases the stability of erroneous trajectories rather than the probability of truth. The introduction of additional logical audits converges the system toward a \textit{Cascade Point} where internal disagreement entropy hits zero while factual error hits unity. Across 12 family configurations of a three-agent chain, we establish the \textit{Architectural Tribalism Asymmetry} as a reproducible inference-time property of the model family that synthesizes the final answer. We demonstrate that terminal swarm integrity is strictly gated by the synthesizer's receptive logic rather than aggregate agent quality. A homogeneous Gemini swarm reached this Cascade Point in $100\%$ of Multi-Challenge trajectories. Even when the reviewing agent rejected a planted error in every trajectory, a Gemini synthesizer reinstated it $60.9\%$ of the time. Conversely, with the first two agents held fixed, swapping only the synthesizer's model family cut terminal error from $91.7\%$ to $23.6\%$. We define the \textit{Tribalism Coefficient} ($\tau$) and the \textit{Sycophantic Weight} ($\sigma$) as the primary determinants of swarm failure. Finally, we establish the \textit{Heterogeneity Mandate} as a foundational safety requirement for resilient agentic architectures.

Research Square
University of Waterloo (CA)
Multi-Agent Systems and Negotiation
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