Why Clinical AI Will Keep Failing Women Until We Validate Across Hormonal States

We identify the absence of hormonal-dynamic validation as a structural bottleneck in clinical AI fairness and propose a concrete protocol to address it. The protocol centers on a tiered multi-modal data stack anchored by nocturnal basal heart rate variability, serum hormone assays, and STRAW+10 menopausal staging, applied within a longitudinal mixed-effects framework that treats race as a moderator of hormonal transition slope. We introduce the Endocrine Volatility Score (EVS), the coefficient of variation of a model’s true positive rate across hormonal states as a quantitative transparency metric for a public Hormonal Fidelity Index.

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Publication Details

Journal
Zenodo (CERN European Organization for Nuclear Research)
Published
2026-04-30
DOI
https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.19922856
Primary Topic
Heart Rate Variability and Autonomic Control
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
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article

Why Clinical AI Will Keep Failing Women Until We Validate Across Hormonal States

Inna Rytsareva
Zenodo (CERN European Organization for Nuclear Research)
Heart Rate Variability and Autonomic Control
article

Why Clinical AI Will Keep Failing Women Until We Validate Across Hormonal States

Inna Rytsareva
article en

Abstract

We identify the absence of hormonal-dynamic validation as a structural bottleneck in clinical AI fairness and propose a concrete protocol to address it. The protocol centers on a tiered multi-modal data stack anchored by nocturnal basal heart rate variability, serum hormone assays, and STRAW+10 menopausal staging, applied within a longitudinal mixed-effects framework that treats race as a moderator of hormonal transition slope. We introduce the Endocrine Volatility Score (EVS), the coefficient of variation of a model’s true positive rate across hormonal states as a quantitative transparency metric for a public Hormonal Fidelity Index.

Zenodo (CERN European Organization for Nuclear Research)
Harmonic Drive (Germany) (DE)
Gender equality
Openalex Percentile: Top 5%
Heart Rate Variability and Autonomic Control
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