Effects of Dapagliflozin on Cardiovascular Outcomes in Patients With Type 2 Diabetes at Risk of Liver Fibrosis

AIMS: The fibrosis-4 (FIB-4) score is used to identify risk of advanced liver fibrosis. This post hoc analysis investigated its prognostic value for cardiovascular (CV) outcomes and its relevance to the effects of dapagliflozin. MATERIALS AND METHODS: DECLARE-TIMI 58 was a randomised, placebo-controlled phase 3 trial investigating dapagliflozin in patients with type 2 diabetes (T2D) and either atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease (ASCVD) or high ASCVD risk. Participants were stratified by baseline FIB-4 scores (< 1.30, 1.30 to < 2.67, and ≥ 2.67). Hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) for dapagliflozin versus placebo were calculated for the two primary outcomes (major adverse cardiovascular events [MACE] and the composite of CV death and hospitalisation for heart failure [HHF]). RESULTS: Of 17 160 patients enrolled, 16 361 were included (median follow-up of 4.2 years). Distribution across FIB-4 categories was: < 1.30, n = 9084 (55.5%); 1.30 to < 2.67, n = 6556 (40.7%); and ≥ 2.67, n = 621 (3.8%), with similar ASCVD prevalence across groups (40%-43%). In the placebo arm, the ≥ 2.67 FIB-4 group had the highest event rates for MACE, HHF, CV death, and all-cause death. MACE HRs (95% CIs) for dapagliflozin versus placebo were 0.95 (0.83-1.10), 0.92 (0.79-1.08), and 0.61 (0.38-0.97) across ascending FIB-4 groups. For the CV death and HHF composite endpoint, they were 0.81 (0.67-0.98), 0.90 (0.73-1.10), and 0.50 (0.28-0.90). Dapagliflozin reduced aspartate aminotransferase and alanine aminotransferase levels compared with placebo. CONCLUSION: Highest FIB-4 scores were associated with increased CV risk in patients with T2D. Dapagliflozin reduced CV risk across FIB-4 categories without significant interactions.

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Journal
Diabetes Obesity and Metabolism
Published
2026-04-27
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1111/dom.70820
Primary Topic
Liver Disease Diagnosis and Treatment
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article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
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article

Effects of Dapagliflozin on Cardiovascular Outcomes in Patients With Type 2 Diabetes at Risk of Liver Fibrosis

Van Gaal L, Avivit Cahn, Peter A. Johansson, Monika Huhn et al.
Diabetes Obesity and Metabolism
Liver Disease Diagnosis and Treatment
article

Effects of Dapagliflozin on Cardiovascular Outcomes in Patients With Type 2 Diabetes at Risk of Liver Fibrosis

Van Gaal L, Avivit Cahn, Peter A. Johansson, Monika Huhn, Filipe A. Moura, Simona Cernea, I Gause-Nilsson, John P. H. Wilding, C. David Sjostrom, Jan Oscarsson, Yunyun Jiang, Deepak L. Bhatt, Stephen D. Wiviott
article en

Abstract

AIMS: The fibrosis-4 (FIB-4) score is used to identify risk of advanced liver fibrosis. This post hoc analysis investigated its prognostic value for cardiovascular (CV) outcomes and its relevance to the effects of dapagliflozin. MATERIALS AND METHODS: DECLARE-TIMI 58 was a randomised, placebo-controlled phase 3 trial investigating dapagliflozin in patients with type 2 diabetes (T2D) and either atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease (ASCVD) or high ASCVD risk. Participants were stratified by baseline FIB-4 scores (< 1.30, 1.30 to < 2.67, and ≥ 2.67). Hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) for dapagliflozin versus placebo were calculated for the two primary outcomes (major adverse cardiovascular events [MACE] and the composite of CV death and hospitalisation for heart failure [HHF]). RESULTS: Of 17 160 patients enrolled, 16 361 were included (median follow-up of 4.2 years). Distribution across FIB-4 categories was: < 1.30, n = 9084 (55.5%); 1.30 to < 2.67, n = 6556 (40.7%); and ≥ 2.67, n = 621 (3.8%), with similar ASCVD prevalence across groups (40%-43%). In the placebo arm, the ≥ 2.67 FIB-4 group had the highest event rates for MACE, HHF, CV death, and all-cause death. MACE HRs (95% CIs) for dapagliflozin versus placebo were 0.95 (0.83-1.10), 0.92 (0.79-1.08), and 0.61 (0.38-0.97) across ascending FIB-4 groups. For the CV death and HHF composite endpoint, they were 0.81 (0.67-0.98), 0.90 (0.73-1.10), and 0.50 (0.28-0.90). Dapagliflozin reduced aspartate aminotransferase and alanine aminotransferase levels compared with placebo. CONCLUSION: Highest FIB-4 scores were associated with increased CV risk in patients with T2D. Dapagliflozin reduced CV risk across FIB-4 categories without significant interactions.

Diabetes Obesity and Metabolism
University of Liverpool (GB), Hebrew University of Jerusalem (IL), Hadassah Medical Center (IL), Universitatea de Medicină, Farmacie, Științe și Tehnologie „George Emil Palade” din Târgu Mureș (RO), Jerusalem Multidisciplinary College (IL), Yale University (US), VA Connecticut Healthcare System (US), Mount Sinai Hospital (US), Antwerp University Hospital (BE), AstraZeneca (Brazil) (BR), AstraZeneca (Poland) (PL), AstraZeneca (Finland) (FI), AstraZeneca (Spain) (ES), Icahn School of Medicine at Mount Sinai (US)
AstraZeneca
Good health and well-being
Openalex Percentile: Top 10%
Liver Disease Diagnosis and Treatment
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