Forecast-Guided Distributionally Robust Scheduling of Hybrid Energy Storage for Stability Support in Offshore Wind Farms

High-frequency volatility and extreme tail risks in offshore wind power pose severe challenges to grid stability and economic operation. Conventional storage planning often relies on deterministic profiles or static allocation rules, failing to capture the non-stationary temporal dynamics of marine wind resources. To bridge this gap, this paper proposes a closed-loop framework that integrates ultra-short-term probabilistic forecasting with dynamic hybrid energy storage optimization. A novel Dual-Channel Residual Network is developed to provide well-calibrated predictive uncertainty quantification, which explicitly drives a Prediction-Guided Dynamic Hybrid Storage Optimization Framework. By dynamically coordinating lithium-ion batteries and liquid air energy storage based on evidential predictive variance, the proposed approach achieves superior synergy between short-term power response and long-duration energy shifting. Case studies on an offshore wind farm validate that the framework significantly reduces the Levelized Cost of Energy and loss-of-load risks while enhancing frequency regulation capabilities compared to state-of-the-art benchmarks.

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Publication Details

Journal
Mathematics
Published
2026-04-26
DOI
https://doi.org/10.3390/math14091458
Primary Topic
Microgrid Control and Optimization
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
0.00

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article

Forecast-Guided Distributionally Robust Scheduling of Hybrid Energy Storage for Stability Support in Offshore Wind Farms

Zixiang Shen, Tiandong Zhang, Yijuan Xu
Mathematics
Microgrid Control and Optimization
article

Forecast-Guided Distributionally Robust Scheduling of Hybrid Energy Storage for Stability Support in Offshore Wind Farms

Zixiang Shen, Tiandong Zhang, Yijuan Xu
article en

Abstract

High-frequency volatility and extreme tail risks in offshore wind power pose severe challenges to grid stability and economic operation. Conventional storage planning often relies on deterministic profiles or static allocation rules, failing to capture the non-stationary temporal dynamics of marine wind resources. To bridge this gap, this paper proposes a closed-loop framework that integrates ultra-short-term probabilistic forecasting with dynamic hybrid energy storage optimization. A novel Dual-Channel Residual Network is developed to provide well-calibrated predictive uncertainty quantification, which explicitly drives a Prediction-Guided Dynamic Hybrid Storage Optimization Framework. By dynamically coordinating lithium-ion batteries and liquid air energy storage based on evidential predictive variance, the proposed approach achieves superior synergy between short-term power response and long-duration energy shifting. Case studies on an offshore wind farm validate that the framework significantly reduces the Levelized Cost of Energy and loss-of-load risks while enhancing frequency regulation capabilities compared to state-of-the-art benchmarks.

MathematicsVol. 14(9)
Inner Mongolia University of Technology (CN)
Inner Mongolia University, Inner Mongolia University of Technology
Affordable and clean energy
Openalex Percentile: Top 5%
Microgrid Control and Optimization
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