Stability and Bifurcation of a Dual-Strain Epidemic Model with Multiple Time Delays

In this paper, we analyze a dual-strain epidemic model with six compartments and two discrete delays, [Formula: see text] for the original strain and [Formula: see text] for the mutant strain. Strain-specific reproduction numbers [Formula: see text] and [Formula: see text] yield the overall threshold [Formula: see text]. Lyapunov functional is used to show that the disease-free state is globally stable when [Formula: see text]. If one reproduction number exceeds unity while the other does not, the corresponding single-strain endemic state is globally stable. When both exceed unity coexisting equilibria appear; their stability depends on a quasipolynomial that includes the delays. Explicit Hopf bifurcation conditions identify critical delays [Formula: see text] and [Formula: see text] where periodic oscillations arise. Simulations confirm these thresholds and indicate that longer latencies reduce overall infection. Time delays therefore act as key control parameters for persistence, coexistence, and oscillations in multistrain epidemics, guiding effective intervention design that accounts for mutation and vaccination.

Authors

Institutions

Publication Details

Journal
International Journal of Bifurcation and Chaos
Published
2026-04-25
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1142/s0218127426501294
Primary Topic
Mathematical and Theoretical Epidemiology and Ecology Models
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
0.00
Controls
|||
ALL TIME
JAN
FEB
MAR
APR
MAY
JUN
JUL
AUG
SEP
OCT
article

Stability and Bifurcation of a Dual-Strain Epidemic Model with Multiple Time Delays

Rongyu Huang, Dun Han, Xiao Wang
International Journal of Bifurcation and Chaos
Mathematical and Theoretical Epidemiology and Ecology Models
article

Stability and Bifurcation of a Dual-Strain Epidemic Model with Multiple Time Delays

Rongyu Huang, Dun Han, Xiao Wang
article en

Abstract

In this paper, we analyze a dual-strain epidemic model with six compartments and two discrete delays, [Formula: see text] for the original strain and [Formula: see text] for the mutant strain. Strain-specific reproduction numbers [Formula: see text] and [Formula: see text] yield the overall threshold [Formula: see text]. Lyapunov functional is used to show that the disease-free state is globally stable when [Formula: see text]. If one reproduction number exceeds unity while the other does not, the corresponding single-strain endemic state is globally stable. When both exceed unity coexisting equilibria appear; their stability depends on a quasipolynomial that includes the delays. Explicit Hopf bifurcation conditions identify critical delays [Formula: see text] and [Formula: see text] where periodic oscillations arise. Simulations confirm these thresholds and indicate that longer latencies reduce overall infection. Time delays therefore act as key control parameters for persistence, coexistence, and oscillations in multistrain epidemics, guiding effective intervention design that accounts for mutation and vaccination.

International Journal of Bifurcation and Chaos
Jiangsu University (CN)
Good health and well-being
Openalex Percentile: Top 10%
Mathematical and Theoretical Epidemiology and Ecology Models
AI Navigator

Ask Laika to Summarize, Analyze, and Connect papers live on the map.

Summarize Papers & Methodologies

Extract key findings, datasets, and comparative methods across publications.

Benchmark Rankings & Visual Analytics

Rank top research institutions, authors, funders, topics, and journals by Field-Weighted Citation Impact (FWCI) and paper volume with instant charts.

Connect Distant Disciplines

Bridge topological clusters on the map to find hidden collaborative intersections.