Exploring high-level patterns for portfolio selection through pre-training

Transformer-based policy networks have shown promising prospects in Portfolio Selection (PS). However, constrained by high computational complexity, they primarily focus on short-term price series (e.g., the past 12 h), while overlooking valuable long-term features. Furthermore, the inherent volatility and noise tend to lead the model to overfit on low-level information. To tackle these challenges, we propose an innovative approach. This approach leverages a pre-training model to extract high-level patterns from extended price series (e.g., the past two weeks) and then enhances decision-making in policy networks. The pre-training model is designed based on discrete representations to achieve better generalization and interpretability. Specifically, we tokenize the price series into discrete tokens through Vector-Quantization Variational AutoEncoder (VQ-VAE) and encourage the pre-training model to reconstruct these tokens according to the masked price series. Then we introduce a compact encoder-only policy network named Portfolio Transformer Encoder (PTE). Finally, PTE is provided with high-level patterns from the pre-training model to make more comprehensive decisions. We term the whole approach as Vector-Quantization Portfolio Transformer Encoder (VQ-PTE). VQ-PTE demonstrates superior performance on real-world currency and S&P500 datasets, achieving a minimum improvement of 35% in returns. Additionally, visualization results highlight superior interpretability.

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Publication Details

Journal
Intelligent Data Analysis
Published
2026-04-27
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1177/1088467x261441362
Primary Topic
Stock Market Forecasting Methods
Type
article
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article

Exploring high-level patterns for portfolio selection through pre-training

Haihang You, T Liu, Boxiao Liu, Yunpeng Liu
Intelligent Data Analysis
Stock Market Forecasting Methods
article

Exploring high-level patterns for portfolio selection through pre-training

Haihang You, T Liu, Boxiao Liu, Yunpeng Liu
article en

Abstract

Transformer-based policy networks have shown promising prospects in Portfolio Selection (PS). However, constrained by high computational complexity, they primarily focus on short-term price series (e.g., the past 12 h), while overlooking valuable long-term features. Furthermore, the inherent volatility and noise tend to lead the model to overfit on low-level information. To tackle these challenges, we propose an innovative approach. This approach leverages a pre-training model to extract high-level patterns from extended price series (e.g., the past two weeks) and then enhances decision-making in policy networks. The pre-training model is designed based on discrete representations to achieve better generalization and interpretability. Specifically, we tokenize the price series into discrete tokens through Vector-Quantization Variational AutoEncoder (VQ-VAE) and encourage the pre-training model to reconstruct these tokens according to the masked price series. Then we introduce a compact encoder-only policy network named Portfolio Transformer Encoder (PTE). Finally, PTE is provided with high-level patterns from the pre-training model to make more comprehensive decisions. We term the whole approach as Vector-Quantization Portfolio Transformer Encoder (VQ-PTE). VQ-PTE demonstrates superior performance on real-world currency and S&P500 datasets, achieving a minimum improvement of 35% in returns. Additionally, visualization results highlight superior interpretability.

Intelligent Data Analysis
Chinese Academy of Sciences (CN), Institute of Computing Technology (CN), Group Sense (China) (CN), University of Chinese Academy of Sciences (CN)
Peace, Justice and strong institutions
Openalex Percentile: Top 4%
Stock Market Forecasting Methods
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