Atmospheric Rivers Are a Frequent Source of Moisture Transport in Severe Convective Storm Environments

Abstract Atmospheric rivers (ARs) are well known for their contributions to precipitation and flooding across the U.S. The present study explores the relationship between ARs and the potential for severe thunderstorms and tornadoes over the U.S. in both the warm and cool seasons during a 20‐year period from 2004 to 2023. A statistical analysis of severe thunderstorm and tornado warnings issued by the National Weather Service and AR events demonstrates that a majority of warnings over the Southeastern and Eastern U.S. are associated with ARs, especially tornado warnings. Conversely, given an AR event, a minority of AR events feature severe thunderstorm warnings or tornado warnings, with higher fractions in the warm season except for tornado warnings over the Southeastern U.S. It is concluded that ARs appear as a practically necessary, but not sufficient, factor related to the potential for severe convective storms, especially the issuance of tornado warnings in the cool season.

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Publication Details

Journal
Geophysical Research Letters
Published
2026-04-25
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1029/2025gl120738
Primary Topic
Meteorological Phenomena and Simulations
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
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article

Atmospheric Rivers Are a Frequent Source of Moisture Transport in Severe Convective Storm Environments

Christopher A. Davis, Jason M. Cordeira, J. B. Houser, S. M. Bartlett
Geophysical Research Letters
Meteorological Phenomena and Simulations
article

Atmospheric Rivers Are a Frequent Source of Moisture Transport in Severe Convective Storm Environments

Christopher A. Davis, Jason M. Cordeira, J. B. Houser, S. M. Bartlett
article en

Abstract

Abstract Atmospheric rivers (ARs) are well known for their contributions to precipitation and flooding across the U.S. The present study explores the relationship between ARs and the potential for severe thunderstorms and tornadoes over the U.S. in both the warm and cool seasons during a 20‐year period from 2004 to 2023. A statistical analysis of severe thunderstorm and tornado warnings issued by the National Weather Service and AR events demonstrates that a majority of warnings over the Southeastern and Eastern U.S. are associated with ARs, especially tornado warnings. Conversely, given an AR event, a minority of AR events feature severe thunderstorm warnings or tornado warnings, with higher fractions in the warm season except for tornado warnings over the Southeastern U.S. It is concluded that ARs appear as a practically necessary, but not sufficient, factor related to the potential for severe convective storms, especially the issuance of tornado warnings in the cool season.

Geophysical Research LettersVol. 53(8)
NSF National Center for Atmospheric Research (US), Scripps Institution of Oceanography (US), University of Massachusetts Amherst (US), University of California San Diego (US), The Ohio State University (US)
Climate action
Openalex Percentile: Top 9%
Meteorological Phenomena and Simulations
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